Week 6 should provide an old-school, low-scoring contest between the Broncos and Chargers. Despite being on the road, Los Angeles is surprisingly favored by three points in this one.
Less surprisingly, the over/under for total points is set at 35.5. That should tell you just how low scoring this game is expected to be. With that, here are some great values in the betting world for Sunday’s big divisional tilt.
All odds are courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook.
J.K. Dobbins anytime TD scorer (+130)
After a hot start to the season, Dobbins has cooled off in the last two games against some elite defenses. This game won’t be much tougher, as the Broncos defense has been one of the better units in football. While Denver has allowed just two rushing TDs to opposing running backs, this is how Los Angeles is going to have to score in this one. With a lack of talent on the perimeter, Dobbins is the team’s best chance at entering the endzone.
Justin Herbert U1.5 passing TDs (-250)
The odds on this one don’t provide much value, but this seems like a no-brainer. As mentioned above, the Chargers will struggle to score in this one. That makes the likelihood of the team throwing for two passing touchdowns extremely unlikely, especially against the Broncos’ secondary. It’s something that has yet to be done against Denver this season, as they have allowed four passing TDs in total.
Bo Nix U20.5 rushing yards (-115)
No offense to the rookie, but this number seems a bit high. The 2024 first-rounder showed flashes of his running abilities in the first few weeks, but he has just 12 rushing yards in the last two contests. Additionally, the Chargers defense has been stout against running quarterbacks in 2024. Justin Fields and Kyler Murray combined for just 18 rushing yards in the Chargers’ last two games. Take the under on this one.