Analyzing Friday’s Phoenix Suns at Golden State Warriors odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.
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The Phoenix Suns (24-22) and Golden State Warriors (24-23) meet Friday. Tip-off from Chase Center is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Suns vs. Warriors odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
The Suns snapped a 3-game win streak with a 121-113 loss vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves in Phoenix Wednesday. The Suns failed to cover as 1-point favorites and the Over (224.5) hit, ending a 4-game run to the Under for Phoenix. F Kevin Durant led the Suns with 33 points.
The Warriors beat the visiting Oklahoma City Thunder 116-109 Wednesday, covering as 9-point underdogs with the Over (224.5) cashing. F Andrew Wiggins had 27 points, and G Stephen Curry added 21 points, including a 33-foot 3-pointer with 1:52 remaining to give Golden State a 6-point lead.
The Suns have covered both head-to-head meetings this season, while the Under has gone 2-0. In their last meeting (Dec. 28), Phoenix covered as a 6.5-point underdog in a 109-105 Warriors home win as the Under (220) hit. F Jonathan Kuminga tied a career high with 34 points for Golden State — he’s out Friday with an ankle injury — while Durant led the Suns with 31 points.
Suns at Warriors odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:32 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Suns -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Warriors +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Suns -1.5 (-105) | Warriors +1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 228.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Suns at Warriors key injuries
Suns
Warriors
- F Draymond Green (calf) out
- F Jonathan Kuminga (ankle) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Suns at Warriors picks and predictions
Prediction
Warriors 121, Suns 114
The Warriors have won back-to-back games and seem to be turning things around after losing 3 of 4 Jan. 20-25.
The Suns have won 8 of their last 11 games, but they’ve been overvalued lately, covering just 8 of their last 26 (8-17-1 ATS). While the ML results have been good, their inability to meet the market’s expectations of them means you’re effectively paying a tax on their number, which is a losing proposition long term.
Don’t let Phoenix’s 8-3 straight-up record over its last 11 games cloud your judgement; the Suns have been underperforming.
BET WARRIORS (+100).
Taking the 1.5 points with Golden State (-115) is fine, too, but with such a tiny spread, the plus odds on the ML are preferred.
PASS. Bet Warriors ML instead.
The Warriors’ team total is 113.5 (O: -125 | U: -102), so for the Over to hit, Golden State will likely need to score 114 or more points Friday. The Warriors have put up 114-plus in 6 of their last 8 games overall, going 6-2 O/U, while Phoenix has allowed 115 or more in 5 of its last 6 on the road.
BET OVER 228.5 (-110).
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