Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 250 odds between Israel Adesanya vs. Nassourdine Imavov, with MMA picks and predictions.
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In a 5-round middleweight bout in the main event, Israel Adesanya and Nassourdine Imavov meet at UFC Fight Night 250 — also known as UFC Saudi Arabia and UFC on ESPN+ 108 — Saturday at ANB Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s UFC odds around the UFC Fight Night 250: Adesanya vs. Imavov odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The prelims begin at 9 a.m. ET (ESPN+) with the main card approximately kicking off around noon ET.
Records: Adesanya (24-4-0) | Imavov (15-4-0)
Adesanya — nicknamed “The Last Stylebender” — had been mostly unbeatable in his UFC career. He picked up the interim middleweight strap at UFC 236 against Kelvin Gastelum in April 2019. He defended his crown 3 times before moving up to light heavyweight when Jan Blachowicz stunned him at UFC 259 in March 2021. Stylebender returned with a win 3 months later over Marvin Vettori to defend his middleweight title at UFC 263. He defended the strap 2 more times before a loss to Alex Pereira in November 2022.
At UFC 287, Adesanya avenged his loss to Pereira to regain the crown in April 2023, but back-to-back losses to Sean Strickland (September 2023) and Dricus Du Plessis (August 2024) in championship bouts has knocked him down the middleweight ranks in a stacked division.
Imavov is on the rise, looking to make a name for himself in the division. He lost to Strickland via unanimous decision in a fight night offering in January 2023. After a no-contest against Chris Curtis at UFC 289 5 months later, Imavov has rattled off 3 wins in a row. He claimed with a majority-decision victory over Roman Dolidze in February 2024, a 4th-round KO/TKO of Jared Cannonier in a main event in June 2024, and a unanimous-decision victory over Brendan Allen in his last fight (September 2024).
Adesanya holds a 5-inch reach advantage, while Imavov, who is 29 years old, is 6 years younger than the former champ. Imavov also has a 4.51-to-4.00 advantage in significant strikes landed per minute, while posting a 59.69% accuracy mark on those strikes, to just 51.53% for Adesanya.
The French fighter also has a 0.88 takedown average, and he has a 36.0% accuracy on takedowns, while posting a 1.18 submission average. Adesanya has a 0.05 takedown average, 12.50% takedown accuracy percentage and 0.14 submission average.
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UFC Fight Night 250: Adesanya vs. Imavov odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 9:34 p.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Adesanya -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | Imavov +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
- Over/Under: 4.5 rounds (Over -210 | Under +160)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -185 | No +140)
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UFC Fight Night 250: Adesanya vs. Imavov picks and predictions
IMAVOV (+140) is worth a roll of the dice as the underdog.
The reach advantage is huge, and the French fighter has advantages in all of the major categories over Adesanya (-170) except for championship experience. The Nigerian-born fighter is a future Hall of Famer, and one of the best to ever do it, but Adesanya is getting long in the tooth, and he isn’t as unbeatable as he once was.
The youthful Imavov will do what Adesanya has done for many, many years. He will wow the judges with his solid striking ability, while occasionally scoring points with takedowns. He’ll out-style the Stylebender for the victory.
Over 4.5 Rounds (-210) is a little too costly, and even going ‘Yes: Will the fight go the distance?’ (-185) will cost you nearly 2 times the potential return. That’s a little too much, so PASS on that.
However, we’re unlikely to see a KO/TKO in this fight, and a submission is even less likely. If Imavov does, indeed, get it done, the fight will likely go the distance.
IMAVOV ON POINTS (+300) for the chance to triple up is certainly worth a look.
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