2025 Texas Children’s Houston Open odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the Texas Children’s Houston Open, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

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With the Florida swing in the books, the PGA Tour now heads to Texas before the Masters next month. The 2025 Texas Children’s Houston Open takes place this week at Memorial Park where 2 of the game’s top players will be teeing it up in one last tune-up before Augusta. The first round begins on Thursday morning.

Below, we look at Texas Children’s Houston Open odds from BetMGM Sportsbook’s odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Both Scottie Scheffler (+350), the No. 1 player in the Official World Golf Rankings, and No. 2 Rory McIlroy (+600) will be playing this week as they prepare for the Masters and they’re the clear-cut favorites ahead of everyone else in the field. The third-favorite is Aaron Rai at (+2500), followed by Davis Thompson (+3300), J.J. Spaun (+3300), Jason Day (+3300) and Tony Finau (+3300). Stephan Jaeger won this event last year and he comes into the week at +4500.

Memorial Park is one of the few municipal courses on the PGA Tour schedule, rejoining the circuit in 2020 after a renovation the year prior. It’s a par 70, but plays at 7,474 yards, making it a fairly long course. The greens are large but they run off with closely mown areas, making even the nearest misses run away from the hole.

Houston Open – Expert pick

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 6:49 p.m. ET.

Tony Finau (+3300)

As easy as it is to like Scheffler this week, he’s not worth playing at +350 – especially given his so-so form (by his standards) so far this year. Instead, Finau is a tiny bit further down the board at +3300, making him the fourth-favorite. For a guy who has finished second and first in the last 2 years here, he’s a legitimate contender despite Scheffler and McIlroy being in the field.

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Houston Open picks – Contenders

Min Woo Lee (+4000)

Lee is obviously a long hitter, which favors him at a course like Memorial Park. He also has a fantastic short game, ranking 15th in strokes gained: putting and 9th around the green. That combination makes him a threat to win anytime, but only if he can dial in his irons. This will be his tournament debut but he’s been in good enough form for that to not matter much.

Thomas Detry (+5000)

Detry tied for second last year behind Jaeger in his tournament debut, putting together a strong week. He already has a win this season at the WM Phoenix Open in a runaway victory and he’s coming off a T-22 at the Valspar Championship last week.

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Houston Open picks – Long shots

Joel Dahmen (+12500)

Dahmen has been up and down this year, posting 2 top-10 finishes with 4 other missed cuts. But he’s had 2 good showings in 3 starts here, coming in fifth in 2021 and ninth in 2022 before missing the cut last year.

Gary Woodland (+12500)

Woodland has cooled off after a strong start to the year but he’s now coming to Memorial Park where he’s finished 21st and ninth in the last 2 years.

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