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The PGA Tour is in the Lonestar State this week for the 2024 Texas Children’s Houston Open, which is being played at Memorial Park for the 4th time. The 1st round from Houston begins on Thursday morning.
Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2024 Texas Children’s Houston Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.
In the latest Golfweek/Sagarin rankings, world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is at the top of the poll once again. He’s also the betting favorite at +250 as he seeks his 3rd straight win. Wyndham Clark (+1200) is the 2nd-highest ranked player in the field this week, coming in at No. 8.
Memorial Park is only a par 70 but it’s a long course. It’s 7,435 yards after undergoing a major renovation in 2019, which was the 1st year the Houston Open returned to the course. There are only 3 par-5s, all of which are at least 575 yards, and 3 par-3s ranging from 155 yards to 237 yards. The course record is held by both Scheffler and defending champ Tony Finau, who shot 8-under 62 here in 2021 and 2022, respectively.
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Texas Children’s Houston Open – Top-5 picks
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 6:43 p.m. ET.
Wyndham Clark (+260)
The only guy to beat Clark in his last 2 starts is Scheffler. While it’s tempting to take Clark at +1200 to win outright, a safer option is betting him for a 3rd straight top-5 finish. He doesn’t have a top-5 here yet, but he did finish 16th in 2022.
Sahith Theegala (+350)
Theegala is playing some of the best golf of his career right now, having finished in the top 10 in each of his last 2 starts and 3 of his last 4. He finished 22nd here last year and should be able to improve on that number this weekend.
Texas Children’s Houston Open – Top-10 picks
Will Zalatoris (+200)
Zalatoris had back-to-back top-5 finishes before missing the cut at the Players Championship, showing he’s fully back from his lengthy injury absence. He’s a pure ball-striker, which fits perfectly at this course, and the putter seems to be improving now that he’s using a broomstick method.
Keith Mitchell (+300)
Let’s ignore Mitchell’s final-round collapse at the Valspar Championship and bet him for a top-10 this week. He held a 2-shot lead after 54 holes and shot 77 to fall all the way to 17th, but he should bounce back quickly this week in Houston where he came in 9th last year.
Jason Day (+250)
Day came in 7th in 2021 and 16th last year, hovering around the top 10 each year. Though he’s had underwhelming finishes of 36th and 35th in his last 2 starts this season, he had back-to-back top-10s before that and is playing well early in the season.
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Texas Children’s Houston Open – Top-20 picks
Joel Dahmen (+250)
Dahmen has finished 48th, 11th and 49th in his last 3 starts this season, which is a sign that he’s trending in the right direction after missing 3 of 5 cuts to start the year. Impressively, he’s finished 9th and 5th in this tournament the last 2 years.
Aaron Rai (+200)
Rai ranks 23rd on tour this season in strokes gained: tee-to-green, which is a sign of his solid ball-striking. He needs to get the putter going, but matching his recent form with his course history (7th, 19th) makes him a good bet for a top 20.
Tyson Alexander (+800)
Alexander is a long shot at +800 just for a top-20, but he was the runner-up in this event last year. If he comes in the top 20 again this week, it would be his 2nd top-20 finish this season.
Texas Children’s Houston Open – Matchups
Suggested play is golfer in bold.
Keith Mitchell (+125) vs. Si Woo Kim (-145)
It’s surprising to see Mitchell such a big underdog to Kim, who has finished 35th and missed the cut in his last 2 starts at this event. Mitchell feels like a great value at +125.
Texas Children’s Houston Open – Top Swedish
Alex Noren (+100)
Alexander Bjork is the next-closest Swede in this wager at +333 and he’s never played in this event before. Noren, meanwhile, came in 4th here last year and has had finishes of 19th and 9th in his last 2 starts this season.
Texas Children’s Houston Open – First-round leader
Alex Noren (+4000)
Back to Noren here. He ranks 3rd on tour in Round 1 scoring average this season (67.7) and was tied for the lead after the 1st round the last time he played this event thanks to a 65 on Thursday.
Scottie Scheffler (top 10, +110)
There aren’t many ways to get Scheffler at plus-money this week outside of betting him outright, but one way is by taking him to be in the top 10 after the 1st round. He ranks 6th on tour in 1st-round scoring so he’s gotten off to good starts in events this season.
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Golfweek:
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- Texas Children’s Houston Open 2024 odds, course history and picks to win
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