2024 RBC Heritage prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2024 RBC Heritage with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

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The top players in the world won’t have much of a break following the Masters because up next on the schedule is the 2024 RBC Heritage, a signature event with a loaded field. The 1st round from Harbour Town Golf Links in Hilton Head, S.C., begins on Thursday.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2024 RBC Heritage odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Scottie Scheffler, fresh off his Masters victory, remains the No. 1 player in this week’s Golfweek/Sagarin rankings. Xander Schauffele, who’s also in the field, comes in at No. 2, followed by Rory McIlroy, Ludvig Aberg and Patrick Cantlay – all of whom are playing the RBC Heritage. Last year’s champion Matt Fitzpatrick is Golfweek’s 20th-ranked player.

Harbour Town is one of the shorter courses on tour and emphasizes accuracy off the tee and ball-striking with irons. The greens are also some of the smallest on the PGA Tour, so it’s essential for players to be accurate when approaching the greens. It’s a par 71 and 7,213 yards, slightly longer than it was last year.

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RBC Heritage – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 2:30 p.m. ET.

Patrick Cantlay (+300)

Cantlay is Mr. Top 5 at the RBC Heritage. Since 2017, he’s played this event 6 times. He finished inside the top 5 on 4 occasions, missed the cut once and came in 7th another time. If there’s ever a tournament to bet Cantlay to finish in the top 5, it’s this one.

Collin Morikawa (+350)

Morikawa has yet to finish in the top 5 at this event, but he came close in 2021 when he came in 7th. Since then, he’s had finishes of 26th and 31st, proving to be a good fit at Harbour Town with his accuracy off the tee and iron play.

RBC Heritage – Top-10 picks

Tommy Fleetwood (+160)

Fleetwood has notched back-to-back top-10 finishes in his last 2 starts, including a tie for 3rd at the Masters. He’s finished 15th, 10th and 25th in 3 of his 4 career starts at this event (MC in 2021), so he’s played well at Harbour Town in the past. He could legitimately win this tournament on Sunday.

Shane Lowry (+300)

Lowry is poised to bounce back after a dreadful putting performance at the Masters. Harbour Town is a ball-strikers course and Lowry ranks among the best on tour this season. He’s finished in the top 10 here in 3 of his last 5 starts.

Cam Davis (+375)

Davis still has long odds despite his course history (7th, 3rd, 25th) and 12th-place finish at the Masters. His length won’t be a big advantage this week because it’s not a bombers course, but he’s played well here in the past and should do so again.

Other T10 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Russell Henley (+250)
  • Ludvig Aberg (+125)

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RBC Heritage – Top-20 picks

J.T. Poston (+150)

Poston has been feast or famine at the RBC Heritage. He finished 3rd in 2022, 8th in 2020 and 6th in 2019, but he missed the cut in his 2 other starts in 2023 and 2021. He’s one of the best putters on tour (even if his numbers don’t reflect that this year) and has the course history to finish near the top again this week.

Corey Conners (+120)

In the last 4 years, Conners has finished 31st, 12th, 4th and 21st. He seemingly loves this course and has had success here in the past, and we’re probably getting a little bit of a discount after a disappointing week at the Masters.

Matthieu Pavon (+170)

Pavon has proved he can compete with the best players in the world, winning at Torrey Pines earlier this year. In his last 2 starts this season, he’s finished 5th and 12th, so his current form is good despite his lack of course experience (no previous starts here).

RBC Heritage – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Cameron Young (-120) vs. Jordan Spieth (-105)

Spieth looked out of sorts at the Masters and he’s now missed the cut in 3 of his last 4 starts. He won here in 2022 and lost in a playoff last year, but he’s not playing nearly as well right now. Give me Young, who finished 3rd here in 2022.

RBC Heritage – Top Canadian

Corey Conners (+200)

Conners is the favorite to be the top Canadian, ahead of Adam Hadwin  (+300), Mackenzie Hughes and Nick Taylor (both +400). Conners is the best course fit and has the better track record at Harbour Town.

RBC Heritage – Top Australian

Cam Davis (+110)

Davis and Jason Day (-135) are the only two Australians in the field, yet it’s Davis who’s the underdog. Day hasn’t played here since 2020 and he missed the cut that year, while Davis’ course history is noted above.

RBC Heritage – First-round leader

Patrick Cantlay (+2200)

Cantlay ranks 2nd only to Scheffler in Round 1 scoring average this season (67.5) and he’s now coming to a course where he’s finished 7th or better in 5 of his last 6 starts.

Xander Schauffele (+1600)

Schauffele is on fire right now, with his worst finish in his last 5 starts being 25th. Otherwise, he’s had 4 top-5 finishes. He’s 9th in 1st-round scoring average this year and opened with a 67 here last season.

More expert prop bet predictions

Group C winner: Cameron Young (+320)

In this group are Russell Henley (+333), Si Woo Kim (+333), Spieth (+375) and Sahith Theegala (+400). Young is the slight favorite and understandably so with the way he’s playing right now coming out of the Masters.

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