2024 Hollywood Casino 400 odds, picks and predictions

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The NASCAR Cup Series is at Kansas Speedway Sunday for the 2024 Hollywood Casino 400. The green flag drops at 3 p.m. ET (USA Network) for the 1st race of the Round of 12 in the NASCAR Cup Series playoffs. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NASCAR odds around the 2024 Hollywood Casino 400 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

2024 Hollywood Casino 400: What you need to know

Joe Gibbs Racing driver Christopher Bell is on the pole for Sunday’s race. Bell, currently 2nd in the playoff standings, has never won at Kansas in 9 Cup starts, but he has 6 top-10 finishes and a 14.1 Average-Finish Position (AFP)
JGR’s Denny Hamlin, who made the Round of 12 with a strong finish in the Bristol Night Race last weekend, has 4 career wins at Kansas to lead all active drivers. He enters with a 12.3 AFP, and he’ll go off 8th in Sunday’s grid
Hendrick Motorsports driver Kyle Larson, who tops the standings, has 2 career wins at Kansas in 19 Cup starts with a 12.3 AFP, 702 laps led and a 104.3 Average Rating
JGR’s Martin Truex Jr., who was eliminated from the playoffs last week, has 2 career wins with 11 top-5 finishes, 19 top-10 runs and 906 laps led in 32 career Cup starts at Kansas
Team Penske’s Joey Logano has 3 career wins at Kansas in 30 Cup starts, but he also has 4 DNFs and a dismal 16.9 AFP
Stewart-Haas Racing’s Chase Briscoe sits 12th in the playoff standings, and he’ll go off 9th Sunday. He has never finished better than 13th in 7 Cup starts at Kansas while posting a 21.1 AFP
Hendrick’s Chase Elliott leads all active drivers at Kansas with a 10.2 AFP in 17 career Cup starts. However, he goes off from the back of the field due to engine trouble in Saturday’s practice session

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2024 Hollywood Casino 400 – Expert pick

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NASCAR odds. Lines last updated at 12:09 a.m. ET.

CHRISTOPHER BELL (+700) is a much better value than playing Kyle Larson (+325), who is listed as the chalk. Backing the polesitter gives you a chance to multiply your initial wager by 7 times if he is able to steer his ride to checkers.

While Bell has never won a Cup race at Kansas, he did win once in the Xfinity Series at this track, and he has finished in the top 10 in 6 of his 9 career Cup starts so far, with just one DNF, and he has been as high as 3rd.

2024 Hollywood Casino 400 – Contender(s)

BRAD KESELOWSKI (+2200) is worth a roll of the dice. He is no longer in the playoffs after getting bumped out at Bristol last week, but he has a chance to make some noise on Sunday.

The RFK Racing driver has 2 wins with 7 top-5 finishes and 14 top-10 runs in 29 career Cup starts at Kansas Speedway, and he has led the pack for 351 laps. He is 2nd among all active drivers with an impressive 12.2 AFP, too.

If that’s a little too risky for you, ALEX BOWMAN (+1300) is a driver not a lot of people are talking about. He is 11th in the playoff standings, and he has been solid, yet unspectacular at Kansas in his career.

Bowman has a 15.2 AFP in his Cup career at Kansas, good for 8th among active full-time drivers. He has 9 top-10 finishes in his 17 Cup starts, with 183 laps led.

BOWMAN AND/OR KESELOWSKI TOP-10 FINISH isn’t a bad prop bet, either, when those become available.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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