Jamaica (1-1-0 / W-D-L) takes on Brazil (1-0-1) Wednesday from Melbourne Rectangular Stadium. Kickoff in each nation’s last group stage match is set for 6 a.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Jamaica vs. Brazil odds, and make our best Women’s World Cup bets, picks and predictions.
Jamaica opened its World Cup play with a 0-0 draw against France on July 23. It had just 6 shots, 2 of which were on frame, while France had 14 and 5, respectively. F Khadija Shaw received a red and missed Jamaica’s 1-0 win over Panama Saturday, but should be back and rested now. Jamaica had 20 shots and 4 on target, despite having just 48% possession. It ranks 43rd in the FIFA Women’s Ranking.
Brazil comes in virtually needing a win to advance to the knockout round. France will be a heavy favorite against Panama. A French win and Jamaican draw would send Brazil home. Brazil sits 8th in the world ranking. It beat Panama 4-0 to open its group matches and had 32 shots, 10 of which were on frame. Against France — a 2-1 loss — it had just 2 shots on target, which was 5 fewer than France’s 7.
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Jamaica vs. Brazil odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 11:35 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Jamaica +1200 (bet $100 to win $1,200) | Brazil -450 (bet $450 to win $100) | Draw +500
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -160 | U: +115)
Jamaica vs. Brazil picks and predictions
Prediction
Brazil 2, Jamaica 0
Moneyline (ML)
PASS.
Brazil will have its back against the wall but was dominant against Panama, a team that is comparable to Jamaica in technical ability. Brazil is expected to hold Jamaica scoreless as BOTH TEAMS NOT TO SCORE is listed at (-190).
Brazil scored on France and peppered 32 shots at Panama. It should be able to get through a Jamaica defense that has been surprisingly resilient throughout its 1st 2 games. Jamaica did enough to beat Panama, but it had as many shots on goal and less possession.
Jamaica has 4 points through 2 matches, but it hasn’t been as impressive as Brazil. Brazil has no value at (-450), nor does betting against the top-10 nation.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 2.5 (+115).
Jamaica has yet to allow a goal in the World Cup. With France and Panama having combined for just 9 shots on target, Jamaica’s backline has performed well, and while I expect it to lose, that line should be able to hold up well.
Brazil has scored 1 or fewer goals in 5 of 8 games in 2023. In games that were in the SheBelieves Cup, UEFA competitions for the World Cup, it has topped 1 goal in just 1 of 6 matches. Brazil has a strong, experienced attack and should win, but it likely won’t dominate Jamaica’s defense.
That said, take UNDER 2.5 (+115).
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