Haiti (0 wins, 2 losses, 0 draws) takes on Denmark (1-1-0) in each nation’s final 2023 Women’s World Cup group stage match. Kickoff from nib Stadium is set for 7 a.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Haiti vs. Denmark odds, and make our best Women’s World Cup bets, picks and predictions.
Haiti has been eliminated from the knockout stage but has actually outperformed expectations in the World Cup, losing both its Group D matches just 1-0. It lost to England on July 22, ending with 7 shots and 2 on frame despite just 25% of the game’s possession. And it lost 1-0 to China, but had just 1 fewer shot and 46% possession. Haiti is 53rd in the FIFA Women’s World Rankings.
Denmark, No. 13 in theFIFA women rankings, has its future in its hands. Both Denmark and China have 3 points with England already advancing. Both also have a 0-goal differential. Denmark beat China 1-0 last Saturday then lost 1-0 to England Friday. Against England, it had 2 fewer shots on goal and 29% possession. Denmark has been strong defensively, but it hasn’t had the offensive showing expected.
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Haiti vs. Denmark odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 1:33 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Haiti +800 (bet $100 to win $800) | Denmark -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Draw +425 (bet $100 to in $400)
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -135 | U: -105)
Haiti vs. Denmark picks and predictions
Prediction
Denmark 2, Haiti 0
Moneyline (ML)
PASS.
The books do not expect Haiti to get its 1st World Cup goal here.
The odds for both teams not to score is (-190). That is unplayable, as is Denmark to win with its back against the wall and needing a dominant win to solidify its spot in the knockout round. However, at (-300), there’s just no value in betting the favorite to win outright.
Haiti has shown little offensively and lost 2-1 in both of its 2023 matches against World Cup-caliber sides (South Korea and Nigeria). It isn’t worth a play as a heavy underdog.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 2.5 (-105).
Every game in Group D has gone Under this total. Haiti has lost 1-0 twice and Denmark has won 1-0 and lost 1-0. Haiti is highly unlikely to score. It hasn’t faced a top-15 side outside of World Cup play in the last 12 months. It doesn’t have the technical ability to finish or even get to the final third consistently.
That would mean Denmark needs 3, but it has just 1 goal throughout 2 matches. Denmark has just 4 shots on goal through 2 games which is telling considering it had 56% of the possession against China. It should dominate the ball, but it has scored 3 goals in just 1 of its last 11 matches.
Haiti hasn’t been able to attack or score, but it has allowed just 2 goals through 2 games, both times taking on teams either better or at Denmark’s level. Considering it all, take the UNDER 2.5 (-105).
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