In the final Round of 16 match, France battles Morocco Tuesday. Kickoff from Hindmarsh Stadium is set for 7 a.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the France vs. Morocco odds, and make our best Women’s World Cup bets, picks and predictions.
France was the favorite in Group F coming into the Group Stage and it emerged as the No. 1 seed, netting 7 points from 2 wins and a draw. Le Bleues scored 8 goals and allowed 4 throughout matches against Jamaica, Brazil and Panama. Particularly impressive was the 2-1 over Brazil — the only other top-10 nation in its group. France sits 10th in the world per FIFA Women’s Ranking.
Morocco surprisingly made it through one of the more difficult groups, Group H. Top-20 nations South Korea (17) and Germany (2) were sent home in the group stage with Morocco (72) and Colombia (25) advancing. Morocco finished group play with 6 points from 2 wins and a loss. The defeat was a stunning 6-0 loss at the hand of Germany in its opener, but it bounced back with a pair of 1-0 victories over South Korea and Colombia. Its -4 goal differential was the tournament’s only negative mark to advance to the knockout stage.
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France vs. Morocco odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:44 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: France -625 (bet $625 to win $100) | Morocco +1400 (bet $100 to win $1400) | Draw +650
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +120 | U: -165)
France vs. Morocco picks and predictions
Prediction
France 4, Morocco 1
Moneyline (ML)
PASS.
Morocco advanced, but it lost 6-0 to Germany in its lone match against a technically-sound opponent. France is a nation that should be just as lethal in the final third. France (-625) scored 8 goals in the group stage and should be able to get through Morocco’s defense with ease. However, it is far too expensive to play outright.
France did allow 4 goals in the group stage, so BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE: YES (+130) does offer some value. I would preferably play the total straight up though.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER 3.5 (+115).
F Kadidiatou Diani is a star up top for France, netting a hat trick against Panama. She’s a great option in the box and has a proven record of being a top-tier goal scorer. France tallied 6 on a weaker Panama side and even scored 2 on Brazil. It should be able to break through consistently on Morocco. It had 59 shots through 3 group stage matches.
Morocco scored twice and allowed 6, all to Germany. France’s style of play and pace will be more similar to Germany’s than it is to South Korea’s or Colombia’s. Considering France’s defensive flaws against Panama, Morocco could get on the board here as well.
Expect France to put it on early. Take OVER 3.5 (+120).
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