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The Kansas City Chiefs finished 14-3 in the regular season, cruised to the AFC West title and earned the No. 1 seed in the playoffs. They made it to their 5th AFC Conference Championship Game in 5 years with QB Patrick Mahomes.
This is their 3rd Super Bowl in that span. Now, they face their fiercest competition yet in the Philadelphia Eagles.
Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s NFL odds, focusing on the Chiefs’ total points Super Bowl prop bet, and make a suggested play among our expert NFL picks and predictions.
Mahomes will lead the Chiefs into Sunday’s showdown with hopes of winning his 2nd Super Bowl in 3 attempts. To do so, Kansas City will need to defeat a Philadelphia squad which was the best team for most of the NFL season.
Points will be important for the Chiefs as the Eagles feature the 3rd-best scoring offense (28.1 points per game), while Philadelphia allowed 21.7 PPG, ranking 16th. If the Chiefs can hold down the Eagles offense and keep this game Under the total of 51, their chances to pull off the victory are far better vs. getting into a shootout with the injuries they are faced with on offense.
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Chiefs Super Bowl Over/Under total points
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 5:20 a.m. ET.
- Over/Under (O/U): 26.5 (O: +110 | U: -140)
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The play: UNDER 26.5 (-140)
Kansas City led the NFL in scoring with 29.2 PPG, while the Eagles defense was 8th in team defense at 20.2 PPG allowed.
The Chiefs had done most of their damage in through the air where they averaged a league high 297.8 yards per game. But this was with WR Mecole Hardman, who is now on IR, and fully healthy WRs in JuJu Smith-Schuster and Marquez Valdes-Scantling. Both come into the Super Bowl limited.
Most importantly, Mahomes is also dealing with a high ankle sprain which will limit his mobility against a Philadelphia pass rush, which is looking to become just the 3rd team in history to get to 80 sacks on the season, joining the 1984 and 1985 Chicago Bears. Philly led the league with 70 sacks this regular season and recorded 8 in its 2 postseason wins.
The Under is 4-1 in Kansas City’s last 5 games, and 5-1 in Kansas City’s last 6 games against teams with a winning record.
The Chiefs beat up on bad teams. The Eagles are not a bad team. TAKE UNDER 26.5 (-140).
More 2023 Super Bowl coverage
- Odds, picks and predictions for the big game
- QB props: Patrick Mahomes | Jalen Hurts
- Cheat sheet: Picks and predictions galore
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