2022 World Cup: Argentina vs. France odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Argentina vs. France odds and lines, with World Cup soccer expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The 2022 World Cup championship match on Sunday pits Argentina against France. Kickoff from Lusail Stadium is set for 10 a.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Argentina vs. France odds, and make our best World Cup bets, picks and predictions.

It’s the No. 3 team in the world per FIFA men’s rankings against the 4th-best team and defending champs of the event that happens every 4 years. After almost a month in Qatar, fans will either see Argentine F Lionel Messi lift the 1st World Cup trophy of his legendary career or see a repeat celebration by France.

After losing 2-1 to Saudi Arabia in arguably the most shocking upset of the tournament, Argentina beat Mexico (2-0) and Poland (2-0) to win Group C. It then beat Australia (2-1), Netherlands (2-2, winning 4-3 in penalty kicks) and Croatia (3-0) to advance to the final.

France ripped through Group D, beating Australia (4-1) and Denmark (2-1) before losing to Tunisia (1-0). It beat Poland (3-1), England (2-1), and Morocco (2-0) to reach the final. In France’s most challenging game against England, it had 8 fewer shots, 3 fewer on target, and just 42% possession.

See also: Best Argentina vs. France prop bets

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Argentina vs. France odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:27 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Argentina +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | France +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Draw +215
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +135 | U: -155)

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Prediction

Argentina 2, France 1

Moneyline (ML)

LEAN ARGENTINA (+170).

It almost feels like destiny at this point.

Argentina has dominated to this point. In its most competitive game, against the Netherlands, it had 8 more shots and 3 more on target. Also, the French style of play could lean toward allowing a player like Messi to find the gaps.

France doesn’t play a high press like some sides, and those types of openings, like it saw with England, could lead to opportunities for its opponents. Messi, as we’ve seen all tournament, can fit balls where no one else can, and that should be apparent.

With the extra day to recover and the French side having battled some illness in the camp, this outcome feels like the best side on the moneyline.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET OVER 2.5 (+135).

Argentina’s offense has been explosive. It is averaging 2 goals per game in this tournament, having scored on some of the better defensive teams in the world, Netherlands and Croatia.

France is not shy of attacking prowess either. Outside of the lone game that France didn’t try (their last group stage match with the group already clinched), France has scored at least 2 in every game and has scored 3 or more twice.

F Kylian Mbappe is one of the most explosive forwards in the world. Couple his talent with the 6-foot-4 F Olivier Giroud, and the France attack should have a solid height advantage over the Argentine backline.

Over 2.5 has hit in 15 of 21 World Cup finals but is just 1-4 O/U in the last 5. Nonetheless, the attacks here make the OVER 2.5 (+145) my FAVORITE PLAY.

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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