The PGA Tour is back on the East Coast this week for the 2022 RSM Classic, which is once again being played at Sea Island Resort in St. Simons Island, Georgia. Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2022 RSM Classic odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.
It’s not an overly strong field teeing it up at Sea Island Resort this week, especially after Tony Finau announced his withdrawal from the RSM Classic on Tuesday. He was the highest-ranked player in the latest Golfweek/Sagarin rankings, coming in at No. 14. Brian Harman (23), Jason Day (58), Seamus Power (53) and Tom Hoge (83) are now tied as the favorites to win (+2000) this week.
The field will play 2 courses at Sea Island Resort this week: the Seaside Course and Plantation Course. They’re both under 7,100 yards, with Seaside being a par 70 and Plantation playing as a par 72. Distance off the tee won’t be much of a factor this week because of the shorter courses, which brings more of the field into play.
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RSM Classic – Top-5 picks
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 3:54 p.m. ET.
Tom Hoge (+550)
Hoge has a great track record in this event, highlighted by a tie for 4th last year. He’s playing well right now, too, coming into the RSM Classic with 4 top-13 finishes already this season. It’s reasonable to think he’ll finish in the top 5 again this week.
Keith Mitchell (+650)
Mitchell has made the cut 4 times in 5 appearances at this event, including a tie for 12th last year and a tie for 14th in 2019. He tied for 9th at last week’se Houston Open. A top-5 finish is never easy to call, but Mitchell has a chance in a weaker field, especially with Finau out.
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RSM Classic – Top-10 picks
Mackenzie Hughes (+450)
I’m going back to the well with Hughes. He continued his strong start to the season with his 4th top-25 finish in as many starts by coming in 16th at the Houston Open last week. He won the RSM Classic in 2016 and finished alone in 2nd last year, so this is a good spot for him.
Taylor Pendrith (+450)
The Canadian hasn’t cracked the top 40 yet this season but the RSM Classic is a perfect time for him to get back on track. He tied for 26th in his debut in this event last year. Ranked 17th in strokes gained: off the tee this season, Pendrith just needs to dial in his irons and putter.
Jason Day (+280)
Day has only played this tournament twice, missing the cut last year but tying for 12th the year prior. He’s very quietly off to a fantastic start this season, making 4 of 5 cuts and coming in the top 25 four times. He tied for 16th at the Houston Open last week.
RSM Classic – Top-20 picks
Brendon Todd (+260)
Todd is short and straight off the tee, ranking 31st in driving accuracy and 213th in distance. That’s OK this week at the shorter courses at Sea Island Resort. It’s no coincidence he came in 4th here in 2019 and has made the cut 6 of 8 times. He already has 2 top-10s this season.
Kevin Kisner (+270)
Kisner came in 2nd at the RSM Classic in 2020 and has 3 other top-10s here since 2015, which is when he won it. In his only start this season at the CJ Cup, he tied for 72nd. But I’ll take a chance on him to crack the top 20 in this event again.
Patton Kizzire (+500)
Kizzire tied for 10th at Mayakoba 2 weeks ago and also tied for 10th at this event in 2020. He’s obviously a long shot to win this week, but at least he has some positive history at the RSM Classic.
RSM Classic – Matchups
Suggested play is golfer in bold.
Tom Hoge (-120) vs. Joel Dahmen (+100)
Dahmen is a good pick this week, too, but Hoge has a strong track record here and is playing well right now. The line is juiced in this matchup but Hoge is worth it.
Mackenzie Hughes (-110) vs. Matthew Nesmith (-110)
Hughes is on a heater right now and I’m going to ride it into this matchup against Nesmith, who is also playing well. Hughes also won this event back in 2016.
RSM Classic – Top American
Tom Hoge (+2000)
I’ve already laid out all the reasons I like Hoge this week, and he’s a good pick to be the top American in the field. Only Brian Harman (+1500) has shorter odds to be the top American.
Group C winner
Taylor Pendrith (+350)
This group consists of Patrick Rodgers (+330), Davis Riley (+330), Sahith Theegala (+330) and Wyndham Clark (+350), so there’s no clear favorite. It’ll be tough for any of these 5 players to win the whole thing, but Pendrith has a good chance in this group.
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Golfweek:
- Thursday tee times, TV and streaming info
- A few days after his fifth PGA Tour win, Tony Finau withdraws from 2022 RSM Classic
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