The first groups will kick off the 121st US Open at Torrey Pines in La Jolla, California, Thursday morning at 6:45 a.m. PT. Bryson DeChambeau comes in as the reigning champ and looks to fend off the rest of the 156-man field for his second major win. Below, we’ll look for the best value prop bets in the 2021 US Open odds, with placings, groups and first-round leader picks and predictions.
Jon Rahm, who’s No. 1 in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings, is the betting favorite for the third major of 2021 and fifth of the 2020-21 PGA Tour season. He’s returning to play after being forced to withdraw from the Memorial Tournament due to a positive test for COVID-19.
Patrick Reed seeks his second major win after winning the Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines in late January.
2021 US Open picks: Placings
Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 9:25 a.m. ET.
Top 5: Jon Rahm (+190)
In a major or any strong-field event, it’s a good idea to hedge your outright bets with a top-5 or top-10 wager. Especially when still getting a plus-money payout for the placing bet.
Rahm is the favorite to win the US Open at +900 with those odds returning a profit of $900 on a $100 bet. Put a similar-sized bet on the top-5 finish to recoup your potential losses in case he comes up short. If he wins outright you cash both tickets.
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Top 10: Marc Leishman (+600)
Leishman won the Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines in 2020 and tied for second in both 2010 and 2014. He won the Zurich Classic of New Orleans team event with partner Cameron Smith earlier this year, and his putting and iron play has been in excellent form. He also tied for fifth at the Masters in April.
2021 US Open picks: Top player
Top English: Matt Wallace (+1100)
Wallace shares just the sixth-best odds in this nationality pool. He’s a strong fit for the course and the US Open conditions while 19th on Tour in par 4 efficiency: 450-500 yards and averaging 0.78 Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green per round.
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Top Rest of the World: Cameron Smith (+1000)
Smith is averaging 0.85 SG: Tee-to-Green and 0.62 SG: Putting per round. He has also averaged 0.97 strokes gained on the field per round over 15 career rounds on the South Course at the Farmers Insurance Open.
2021 US Open picks: First-round leader
Patrick Reed (+4000)
Reed isn’t a bad bet to win the US Open at +2500, but he offers a higher payout for the first-round lead when conditions at Torrey Pines will be most similar to the Farmers Insurance Open. He’s fourth on Tour this season in Round 1 scoring average.
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Golfweek:
- US Open tee times, TV info for Thursday’s first round
- Despite sore heel, Spieth back in step with game and ready for Torrey Pines
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