The PGA Tour and golf betting return this week with the Sentry Tournament of Champions at the Plantation Course at Kapalua in Hawaii. This year’s star-studded tournament features an expanded, but still limited field of 42 to kick-off the 2021 golf schedule. Below, we look at the 2021 Sentry Tournament of Champions betting odds, and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions to win.
2021 Sentry Tournament of Champions betting picks – Favorite
Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:30 a.m. ET.
Xander Schauffele (+1000)
Schauffele heads into the first tournament of 2021 at No. 3 in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings. He trails only tournament betting favorite Dustin Johnson (+600) and Jon Rahm (+750), but he’s fifth by the odds to win this week.
The 27-year-old won here in his second appearance in 2019, and he lost in a playoff to Justin Thomas last year. He leads the entire field with an average of 2.59 strokes gained per round at Kapalua, according to Data Golf. He led last year’s field in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green, SG: Off-the-Tee and SG: Around-the-Green.
Schauffele finished 2020 in better form than anyone other than Johnson with 3.14 strokes gained per round on the average Tour pro over his final 20 rounds of the year. He also gained 1.16 strokes putting over his last 12 measured rounds and knows these greens very well.
He’s a value at +1000 with four golfers having equal or lower odds.
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2021 Sentry Tournament of Champions betting picks – Contender
Daniel Berger (+3000)
Berger finished 14th in this event in 2017 and 11th in 2018 but hasn’t played here since. He re-emerged in 2020 after lengthy injury troubles and has risen back to No. 6 in the Golfweek/Sagarin rankings. He won the Charles Schwab Challenge upon the Tour’s restart in mid-June and had six other top-10 finishes on the calendar year, including a runner-up finish in a comparable field at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational.
Berger’s a strong putter with a great approach game but will need to be sharper around the greens at the Plantation Course. He averaged 1.20 strokes gained on the field over his eight rounds played here.
2021 Sentry Tournament of Champions betting picks – Long shot
Mackenzie Hughes (+12500)
Hughes is playing Kapalua for just the second time in his career after qualifying for last season’s Tour Championship. Though he didn’t win last season, he had a runner-up finish, a third-place result and four other top 10s in 22 events.
The Plantation Course’s emphasis on putting and play around the green play to Hughes’ top two strengths. He averaged 0.76 SG: Putting through his first 15 measured rounds to begin the 2020-21 season last fall.
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