2021 NFL Draft Wacky Call No. 1: Davis Mills will go in the first round, and …
I can’t do it.
I so want to put it out there and make the call that Mills will be drafted ahead of Justin Fields, but I that’s too much of a stretch.
You can’t make a draft pick happen, you can only predict it.
There are way too many concerns about Mills – never healthy, almost no experience, needs a ton of reps before he’s polished, will take at least a year of lumps to see things faster – but it’s all there.
As we speak, some scout is filibustering his general manager with the 16ish to 25ish pick that this is the steal of the draft. This is the one who, with time and seasoning, can be the special player who makes everyone else second guess their life choices.
All arm, perfect size, athletic, Stanford smart – he’s Andrew Luck lite.
Fine, so that’s a gigantic stretch, but if you’re taking Mills in the first round and he’s the sixth quarterback off the board, that’s an interesting combination of being a big-time call along with no big whoop pressure.
If it doesn’t work, you took a shot for the stars with a relatively decent flier after all the other top quarterbacks went. And when you take him, all five general managers who took Trevor, Zach, Mac, Trey and Justin, respectively, will take a moment and think, “yeah … maybe.”
Wacky 2021 NFL Draft prediction that just might be right: Chicago wants him at the 20, but Washington will take him at the 19, and they both might have to trade up past New England at the 15 to get him.
Okay, okay, okay, I get it. This never quite works like it’s supposed to, and I’m more than willing to eat it if Mills is this year’s Mason Rudolph.
I honestly thought Jacob Eason might slide into the first round last year, and he didn’t go until the fourth round to Indianapolis. I thought the same with Rudolph in 2018, and he went in the third.
I once had a scout swear to me that Ryan Nassib was the best quarterback in the 2013 NFL Draft – and, technically, he wasn’t terribly far off – and could go in the first round, but the Syracuse passer went in the fourth.
It all ties together.
Teams are going to freak out over quarterbacks, someone you don’t think will take a QB will take a QB, and Fields won’t fall as far as many might think.
The drop-off from Mills the Kyle Trask and Jamie Newman is enormous, and someone in the top 20 will make the call.
Davis Mills, no matter what.
Happy 2021 NFL Draft weekend, everyone.
CFN 2021 NFL Pre-Draft Team Thoughts
AFC East Buffalo | Miami | NY Jets | New England
AFC North Baltimore | Cincinnati | Cleveland | Pitt
AFC South Houston | Indy | Jacksonville | Tenn
AFC West Denver | KC | Las Vegas | LA Chargers
NFC East Dallas | NY Giants | Phil | Washington
NFC North Chicago | Detroit | Green Bay | Minn
NFC South Atlanta | Carolina | New Orleans | TB
NFC West Arizona | LA Rams | San Fran | Seattle
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CFN 2021 NFL Draft Prospect Rankings
from the college perspective …
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DE & Edge | DT | LB | CB | Safeties
Top 105 2021 NFL Draft Prospects
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32 Greatest Draft Picks of All-Time
2022 Top 32 Pro Prospects | By Position