TPC Deere Run in Silvis, Illinois, hosts this week’s John Deere Classic as the last tune-up to the 2021 British Open next week. A rather weak field is in attendance ahead of the final men’s major championship of the 2020-21 PGA Tour super season. Below, we look at the 2021 John Deere Classic odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions to win.
Brian Harman is the top player in the field at No. 8 in the Golfweek/Sagarin ranking. Daniel Berger, at No. 9, is the only other golfer from the top 10 in attendance. Cam Davis comes in off his first career PGA Tour victory at last week’s Rocket Mortgage Classic.
TPC Deere Run measures 7,268 yards and plays to a par of 71. Five of the last six winning scores of the John Deere Classic were minus-20 or better. The 2020 tournament was canceled amid the COVID-19 pandemic.
Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 1:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite
Russell Henley (+1800)
Henley was off last week after a T-19 finish at the Travelers Championship followed by his T-13 showing at the US Open. He returns to TPC Deere Run off of a runner-up finish in 2019 in which he averaged 2.11 Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green and 1.93 SG: Approach per round.
Henley’s 46th on Tour in driving accuracy and tied for 14th in par 4 efficiency from 400-450 yards. His most recent of three PGA Tour wins to date was at the 2017 Houston Open, but he enters the week in strong form and is one of the top-ranked players in the field at No. 34 in the Golfweek rankings.
The weaker field should allow for a top finish after his late collapse against the world’s best at the U.S. Open.
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Contender
Beau Hossler (+6600)
Hossler has rung up three straight top-25 finishes with a T-19 at the Palmetto Championship, a T-10 at the Travelers Championship and a T-25 at last week’s Rocket Mortgage Classic. Once ranked as high as 64th in the Official World Golf Ranking, he enters this week at No. 288 but has been trending in the right direction in 2021.
He tied for 26th at the 2019 John Deere Classic with 1.48 SG: Putting per round. His putter has been the best part of his game this season.
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Long shot
Bronson Burgoon (+12500)
Burgoon has averaged 0.85 strokes gained on the field per round over 12 career rounds at TPC Deere Run. Those three appearances include a distant runner-up finish to Michael Kim in 2018. He tied with three others that year, including 2018 Open champ Francesco Molinari.
The 34-year-old has missed three straight cuts, but he previously tied for 13th against quality fields at both the AT&T Byron Nelson and the Valspar Championship.
His two professional wins were on the Adams Pro Tour in 2012, but he has played well at this course and this is one of the weakest fields of the 2021 schedule.
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