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The top 125 golfers from the season-long FedExCup standings are in the field for this week’s Northern Trust at TPC Boston. It’s the first of three FedExCup Playoffs events; the top 70 in the standings after this week will progress to the BMW Championship. From there, the top 30 will compete in the Tour Championship at East Lake. Below, we look at the best prop bets, including matchups, placings and first-round leader bets, for the 2020 Northern Trust.
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2020 Northern Trust: Matchup bets
Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 5:35 a.m. ET.
Patrick Cantlay vs. Daniel Berger (-106)
Cantlay ranks two spots ahead of Berger at No. 6 in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings, but Berger has been much better – and much more active – since the PGA Tour’s restart. Take the Charles Schwab Challenge champ as a slight dog in this head-to-head.
Xander Schauffele vs. Collin Morikawa (-106)
Again, recency bias isn’t being factored into the lines for his tournament matchup. The 2020 PGA Championship winner is a slight dog against Schauffele. Morikawa makes his pro debut at TPC Boston, but Schauffele has lackluster course history with an average of just 0.48 strokes gained per round across eight career rounds, according to Data Golf.
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2020 Northern Trust: Placing bets
Top 5: Cameron Champ (+1200)
Champ’s a two-time PGA Tour winner, but his breakout performance was arguably his T-10 at the PGA Championship. His wins came against much weaker competition on the Tour’s Fall Swing. He ranks second on Tour this season in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee, and he was third in the field at TPC Harding Park.
Top 10: Louis Oosthuizen (+700)
Oosthuizen’s best result in seven events since the restart was a T-6 at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational. He has a great history at TPC Boston with 2.47 strokes gained per round and needs a top result in order to move into the top 70 and play again next week.
Top Australasian player: Adam Scott (+225)
Scott was going to be my play as a slight dog in a head-to-head matchup against Jason Day, but both golfers offer better value as the top competitors in the group. Day (+138) had the better showing at the PGA Championship with a T-4 to Scott’s T-22, but Scott has the better course history at TPC Boston.
2020 Northern Trust: First-round leader bet
Bryson DeChambeau (+2000)
The co-favorite to win the tournament, DeChambeau is getting considerably higher odds to lead after the opening 18 holes. He leads the PGA Tour with a first-round scoring average of 68.00 through 14 total rounds. He opened with 67 or better in five of seven events since the restart.
Rory McIlroy (+2500)
Much of the same logic applies to McIlroy. The two-time FedExCup champ ranks fourth on Tour in SG: Off-the-Tee to DeChambeau’s top rank, and he’s third with a first-round scoring average of 68.42. The biggest thing in his favor is his 8:15 a.m. ET tee time in better scoring conditions. DeChambeau tees off at 1:06 p.m. ET.
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