2020 NFL MVP Odds: Is Jimmy Garoppolo worth a bet?

Analyzing the betting odds to be named the NFL’s 2020 MVP, with a look at whether Jimmy Garoppolo is worthy of a bet this season.

Do you think San Francisco 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo has what it takes to win the 2020 NFL MVP?

We are still months away from the 2020 NFL season but it isn’t too early to start projecting who will step up and be the MVP in the upcoming season.

Garoppolo had his first full season as a starting quarterback in 2019 and managed to take the 49ers to the Super Bowl. He had one of the better statistical seasons among quarterbacks and enters 2020 with decent odds to win the season’s MVP.

Let’s examine his chances, the BetMGM NFL futures odds around it happening and whether or not Garoppolo is worth a bet.

Recent NFL MVP winners

The last seven league MVPs and 12 of the last 13 have been quarterbacks. Each of the last four MVPs led the NFL in some major passing statistic. 2019 winner Lamar Jackson (Baltimore Ravens) and 2018 winner Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) had the most touchdown passes. 2017 winner Tom Brady, then with the New England Patriots, led the NFL in passing yards. 2016 MVP Matt Ryan of the Atlanta Falcons had the highest passer rating. In Cam Newton’s 2015 MVP season, he led the Carolina Panthers to a 15-1 regular season. Aaron Rodgers’ 2014 MVP season with the Green Bay Packers was highlighted by 38 TD passes and only five interceptions.

Jimmy Garoppolo’s 2020 NFL MVP odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday, April 1 at 2:45 a.m. ET.

Garoppolo is not really a favorite for the award, but at +2500, only nine players have shorter odds. All are quarterbacks. Mahomes is the favorite at +325, followed by Jackson and Seattle Seahawks QB Russell Wilson, who are both +500. New Orleans Saints QB Drew Brees is +1400 and Rodgers is +1600, while four players are listed at +2000.


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Jimmy Garoppolo’s stats

Garoppolo played a full 16-game season for the first time since he entered the league in 2014, and he was very good. He threw for 3,978 yards and 27 touchdowns with 13 interceptions, leading the 49ers to a 13-3 record, an NFC West Division title, an NFC championship and a Super Bowl appearance –  they lost to the Chiefs 31-20.

Is Jimmy Garoppolo worth a 2020 NFL MVP bet?

As good as Garoppolo was, his success was largely attributed to the offense around him and the 49ers’ defense. He had one of the best rushing attacks to protect him and the best tight end in the league in George Kittle. However, Garoppolo still did not quite reach 4,000 passing yards and did not lead the league in any significant statistic. Because the offense will continue to be predicated on the running game, Garoppolo likely will not be in a position to lead the NFL in major passing stats. He will lead his team to wins but many will question whether he is the reason or simply the caretaker for the offense. Garoppolo will have a good season, but probably isn’t worth your wager as a potential MVP, even with a potential payout of 25 times your investment.

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