NFL Draft History, Part 2
Peyton Manning, and to a certain extent, Eli Manning.
Since the Dallas Cowboys selected Troy Aikman out of UCLA in 1989, no quarterback selected first overall not named Manning has started and won a Super Bowl for the team that drafted him – and Eli was technically drafted by the Chargers, but the Giants get the cookie for making the move to get him.
(To be TOTALLY nitpicky – Drew Bledsoe both started and won a Super Bowl for New England, but he didn’t do it in the same season. For purposes of the rant, Tom Brady gets the credit for the Lombardi.)
0-for-16.
Jeff George, Drew Bledsoe, Tim Couch, Michael Vick, David Carr, Carson Palmer, Alex Smith, JaMarcus Russell, Matthew Stafford, Sam Bradford, Cam Newton, Andrew Luck, Jameis Winston, Jared Goff, Baker Mayfield, Kyler Murray.
Those are the 16 quarterbacks not named Manning who went No. 1 overall since 1989, and not one of them won a Super Bowl for the team that drafted him.
To get even deeper, out of the last 40 non-Manning quarterbacks selected in the top nine overall since 1989, how many won a Super Bowl for the team that made the pick.
Zero.
CFN Podcast: The problem taking a QB early
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Trent Dilfer – who went sixth overall to Tampa Bay in 1994 – won a Super Bowl, but with Baltimore.
Why top nine overall? Because Patrick Mahomes broke a brutal streak last season. He was the first non-Manning quarterback drafted in the top ten overall since 1989 to win a Super Bowl for the team that picked him – Kansas City took him tenth. Expand it to the top ten, and non-Manning quarterbacks taken in the top ten since 1989 are now 1-45 at winning Super Bowls for the teams that drafted them.
That means 45 of the 48 quarterbacks who were taken in the top ten overall over the last 30 years didn’t win a Super Bowl for the teams that drafted them, and it took iconic, Hall of Fame-caliber superstars in the Mannings and Mahomes to do it.
There’s another way to look at all of this, though.
Yeah, 16 other non-Manning quarterbacks went No. 1 overall since 1989. They all had the NFL tools to be worthy of the pick … and they didn’t win a Super Bowl.
Burrow has beaten the odds and proved all the doubters and naysayers wrong before. He’s a great story who’d be an even better one if he could make the Bengals special.
The guy has a knack for making his own history.
CFN 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Rankings
from the college perspective …
QB | RB | WR | TE | OT | OG & C
DE | DT | LB | CB | Safeties
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