5. Hawaii at San Diego State
Point Total: 52
PICK: Under
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line
Even if the pick doesn’t work, you’re never wrong betting on the San Diego State defense.
UNLV is awful, and Utah State has been worse, the SDSU offense didn’t totally go off in those two, beating the Rebels 34-6 and the Aggies 38-7 – both were well under 52.
Hawaii got into a funky 39-33 shootout with New Mexico, but that’s partly because of a slew of mistakes. The Rainbow Warrior offense that sputtered in the 31-7 loss at Wyoming is likely what we’re about to get.
It’s not that Hawaii is bad – quite the contrary – but it’s had to do a ton of traveling over the first month, and now it gets to go against that fired up San Diego State defense coming off a loss.
You want more of an argument? San Diego State beat Central Michigan 48-11 in last year’s New Mexico Bowl. Take that out of the equation, and if you just count the regular season games since the beginning of 2019, the last 15 Aztec games have gone under 52.