3. USC at Arizona
POINT TOTAL 76.5
PICK UNDER
For those of you who don’t dig the point totals and want to do this against the spread, yeah, the trend is for Arizona to at least cover at home if not win outright. It’s +470, by the way.
I don’t think the Wildcats are winning, but I do sort of buy in that USC might not cover the 15.5 just because that’s how this seems to be working lately for the underdog home teams in the Pac-12.
76.5 points is just too obnoxious to ignore.
Forgive me for repeating myself, but for the first timers to the piece, it’s a time-hardened tradition with me that you always take the college football over if the point total is in the low 30s and you ALWAYS go under if it’s in the 70s. Over the long haul, you’ll be ahead.
It’s SO hard to get to 70 points, much less 76.5.
After two weeks of rest, USC could come out and roll 52-24, and you lose with the over. The two could have a relative shootout 40-35, and you lose.
A quarterback could lose, there could be a lightning strike, both defenses might actually work – it’s HARD to do.
Yes, I’m aware that Arizona-Washington total was 71.5 two weeks ago and that ended up 49-39 – 88 points and easily blew past the total. If that’s this, then enjoy the show, short memory, move on.
I’m also aware that this is a bad combination of mediocre Wildcat defense, potential 400-yard passing offense, and high-powered USC attack that might take care of 60 of this by itself.
It’s a 76.5 point total.
If this goes over, it’s not your fault. You did things the right way.
NEXT: College Football Pick Against The Spread No. 2 North Carolina at Louisville