2. Pitt at North Carolina
LINE North Carolina -3
PICK North Carolina
That whole thing about the home teams winning in Power Five conferences over the last few weeks doesn’t quite apply to the ACC.
Georgia Tech couldn’t score at home in a 16-9 loss to Virginia last week. but that was a Thursday night game; those are always strange – and Miami turned it over a million times in the loss to Duke, but the other three home teams won including Louisville in a 24-10 win over Pitt.
On the flip side of the trend, straight up the ACC home teams went 1-3 the week before and 4-3 in Week 6. However, this one stands out mainly because of the road team.
This is Pitt’s second road game in a row and just the third all season long. The offense worked against a bad Virginia Tech team, but the week before the three turnovers against Georgia Tech proved costly and the four last week against Louisville were a killer.
North Carolina doesn’t do that whole defense thing the kids are all into, and it’s been struggling to put teams away.
Appalachian State, Miami, Duke – all three mediocre, and all three North Carolina wins by three. Georgia State was just a seven point win, too, but …
On the road. All four of those games were away from the friendly confines of Kenan Memorial Stadium.
Throw in that North Carolina has enjoyed two weeks off while Pitt is scuffling a bit, and this is likely a Tar Heel win outright. The three point spread is basically calling this even.
That’s fine – cost of doing business for a Power Five home team.
And sticking with the ACC for the grande finale …