2. Kansas at Baylor
POINT TOTAL 58.5 (this closed at 56.5)
PICK OVER
Now we have something to work with – 58.5 is a more reasonable, manageable point total.
Even the Baylor-Iowa State game got to 55, and those two have decent defenses.
The key to this in all ways is Kansas. The defense might have been able to pull out the 14-11 win over Iowa State, but it’s going to give up at least 30 points, because that’s what it does. The offense is going to score at least 30 points, because that’s what it does.
Iowa State is the only time the Jayhawks haven’t hit 31. That game and the 35-27 win over Houston were the only FBS games when the other side didn’t get to 30, and even that pushed past 59.
And don’t dismiss the idea that Baylor could all but take care of the 59 itself. Oklahoma was able to put up 52 on the Jayhawks last week.
It’s an early game, you’re hoping these two come out firing, and hopefully it starts things out right. And then in the Big 12’s signature night game …