5. Pitt at Louisville
POINT TOTAL 55
PICK OVER
Start with this. One of these teams is going to score in the 30s.
Pitt’s 26-21 loss to Georgia Tech and Louisville’s 20-14 win over UCF were the only two times in the combined 12 games that one of the teams involved didn’t get to 31.
Sometimes the Cardinal D got rocked – like it did in the 31-7 loss to Syracuse, and sometimes Pitt struggled like in the 34-27 loss to Tennessee.
This isn’t going to be some crazy firefight played in the 40s, so don’t expect this to be easy. However, but teams are coming off solid offensive performances before getting a week to rest up. Both defenses are fine, and they can both get to the quarterback, but they’re nothing special.
Again, this won’t be obvious in the first quarter – it’ll take a while to warm up. But it’s a night game, it’ll be a good atmosphere, and don’t be stunned if both sides end up hitting at least 30.