1. Wake Forest at Florida State
POINT TOTAL 64.5
ATS PICK Over
Like the Clemson-NC State game, this is another one with a total that started higher, dropped after the threat of hurricane conditions early in the week, and then never moved back up.
There was talk of moving the game to Winston-Salem after it was originally feared that Tallahassee would be in the direct path of Hurricane Ian.
It was so scary early in the week that Wake Forest head coach Dave Clawson said he wasn’t going to bring his team down if there was any possible danger.
Classes stopped, the city started to buckle up, and then, fortunately – at least for that region of Florida – the storm went a different direction. Now it’s supposed to in the 80s and sunny on Saturday afternoon.
But let’s just say the weather had nothing to do with anything. The Wake Forest vs Florida State total should probably be in the mid-70s.
Let me put it this way. The Wake Forest-Vanderbilt game got to 70.
Let me put it another way. The Wake Forest-VMI game got to 64.
Let me put another way. The Wake Forest-Liberty game got to 73.
Let me put it another way. The Wake Forest-Clemson game got to 96.
Let me put it another way. Florida State QB Jordan Travis has been dealing so far. He’s okay after the injury suffered against Louisville a few weeks ago, he cranked up 321 yards in the 44-14 win over Boston College, and the team is poised for another shootout.
So what’s the problem? Why isn’t this point total in the stratosphere?
The Florida State defense isn’t bad. It held down Louisville, and that point total only got to 66. The point total in the LSU game only got to 47.
Maybe it’s the 35-14 Wake Forest win over FSU last year, or the 22-20 win in 2019, or the FSU 38-17 win in 2018, or the 26-19 game in 2017, or the 17-6 game of 2016, or …
You get the idea. If you’re a historical precedent type, stay away.
If you’ve seen how these two offenses are rolling, here you go.
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