7. UNLV at New Mexico
LINE 45 point total
ATS PICK Under
There’s the off chance that both of these bad teams found their soulmate and put on a wild 55-52 show.
Nah.
UNLV hasn’t scored more than 24 since September, and even then it put up 30 in a weird loss to Fresno State. Forget the blowout to Nevada last week – the defense isn’t playing that poorly.
New Mexico flat out doesn’t score at all.
It beat Wyoming last week for its first win since taking down New Mexico State on September 11th.
The Lobos won 14-3.
The nation’s worst scoring attack hasn’t scored more than two touchdowns in any of its last six games, and even the win over Houston Baptist was 27-17.
The Lobos have a decent pass defense, but they have an abysmal O inside the red zone.
It’s going to take something special for these two to get rolling.
45 is about the limit. Anything under that, you always, always, always, always, always, always go over. Always.
Which leads us to …
– Week 10 Schedule, Game Times, Game Previews
6. Army vs. Air Force
LINE 37.5 Point Total
ATS PICK Under
Every once in a while, you have to look the facts in the face.
If the world is giving you a point total of 37.5, you go OVER.
OVER, OVER, OVER. Of course you do, and you don’t even question it.
You do the same thing, you do it every time, and over the long …
Army and Air Force don’t score against each other.
For years and years and years I’ve picked these two crazy kids to come up with fun battles on the field, and for all of those years I’ve had several people giving me some version of, “dude, really, they don’t score.”
But that can’t be true, it’s a 37.5 point total …
2020, Army 10, Air Force 7.
These two are going to ball out in a rivalry game that …
2019, Air Force 17, Army 13.
SOMEONE has to win in a rout and put up 38 on its own …
2018, Army 17, Air Force 14.
2017, Army 21, Air Force 0.
2016, Air Force 31, Army 12.
There. See. 2016, Air Force and Army went over 37.5, and …
2015. Air Force 20, Army 3.
2014. Air Force 23, Army 6.
You have to go back to 2013 when Air Force rolled 42-28. So there it is. 37.5 you go over. OVER OVER OVER OVER …
(Sigh) Under.
I can’t go against a streak like this. That would be un-American.
For the No. 5, I’m going to try something with a funky gimmick …