Winner winner chicken dinner: NFL parlay for Week 17

Analyzing NFL Week 17 betting odds and lines, with predictions and picks for the best Christmas parlay bet to make.

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We head into Week 17 of the 2024 NFL regular season, and it’s rather uncharted territory. We have 2 games on Christmas Day, and it still seems a little goofy having NFL football on Wednesday.

The Kansas City Chiefs and Pittsburgh Steelers battle at 1 p.m. ET at Acrisure Stadium, and that game is streaming on Netflix. Let’s hope things go a little better than they did for the Jake Paul-Mike Tyson farce, and we’re not constantly staring at the circle of death.

In the late window, the Baltimore Ravens and Houston Texans square off at 4:30 p.m. ET, also on Netflix, giving us 2 holiday games with huge implications in the AFC playoff picture.

We struck gold on Thanksgiving with a 3-for-3 parlay winner, and followed that up for the Sunday slate that week with another 3-for-3 parlay winner. Let’s hope the holidays are equally good to us here.

Not only will we pick a winner for each of the two Wednesday games, but we’ll toss in the Seattle Seahawks and Chicago Bears game on Thursday, so we can have a 3-game slate.

After looking at BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL Week 17 odds, here is our “Winner winner Christmas dinner” NFL parlay bet to cash in on among SportsbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

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Winner winner Christmas dinner NFL parlay

WEEK 17

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Tuesday at 7:31 p.m. ET. All games ET.

Leg 1: Under 44 (-110) – Chiefs at Steelers – Wednesday, 1 p.m. (Netflix)

The Chiefs (14-1) square off with the Steelers (10-5) in the early-window game on Christmas Day, and it could be a potential playoff preview.

Kansas City has cashed low in 3 of the past 4 games, averaging just 21.5 points per game (PPG) on offense in the past 4 outings. Defensively, though, the Chiefs have been fierce, allowing 19 or fewer points in each of those contests.

In fact, looking at Kansas City’s defense, it has allowed just 307.2 total yards, 91.4 rushing yards and 18.5 PPG, and each of those marks rank inside the Top 5 in the NFL

Much of Pittsburgh’s success has been because of the defense, too, and it is particularly stout against the run, allowing 102.7 yards per game to rank inside the Top 10. The Steelers have hit the Under in 2 of the past 3 games, while allowing 20 or fewer points in all 6 previous home outings.

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Leg 2: RAVENS -5.5 (-110) at Texans – Wednesday, 4:30 p.m. (Netflix)

The Ravens (10-5) travel to meet the Texans (9-6) in huge game in the AFC playoff picture.

The Ravens doubled up the Steelers 34-17 last week in Charm City to win and cover for the third time in the past 4 games. Baltimore is also 3-1 ATS in the past 4 games when favored by 4 or more points.

For the Texans, they have to soldier on after losing WR Tank Dell to a gruesome knee injury last week. QB C.J. Stroud was visibly upset, even shedding tears on the field for his fallen friend. Houston lost 27-19 to the Chiefs last week, and it is just 1-2-1 ATS in the past 4 games, while going 1-2 ATS in the previous 3 games as an underdog.

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Leg 3: SEAHAWKS -3.5 (-110) at Bears – Thursday, 8:15 p.m. (Prime Video)

The Seattle Seahawks (8-7) meet the Chicago Bears (4-11) in a Thursday night game on Boxing Day.

I trusted the Bears in Week 15, and they ruined my 3-game parlay. I promised never to trust them again. Chicago was doubled up by the Detroit Lions last week, falling 34-17 at Soldier Field.

Chicago is 0-3 SU/ATS in 3 games under interim coach Thomas Brown, averaging just 14.0 PPG on offense while allowing at least 30 points in each of the 3 outings. Perhaps Matt Eberflus wasn’t that bad after all.

Anyway, the Seahawks are in the mix for the NFC West Division championship, while the Bears are in the mix for a high draft pick. This won’t end well for the home side, and it’s surprising to see the line so low.

PARLAY CARD

  • UNDER 44 (-110) Chiefs at Steelers
  • RAVENS -5.5 (-110) at Texans
  • SEAHAWKS -3.5 (-110) at Bears

Parlay payout: Bet $10 to profit $59.58 (payout = $69.58).

Try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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