When to pick Dak Prescott in your fantasy football draft

Analyzing Dallas Cowboys QB Dak Prescott’s 2020 ADP and fantasy football draft value. Is he a sleeper or bust? Undervalued or overvalued?

Fantasy football season is in the air, and the unique offseason is causing more questions than answers as we enter our fantasy football drafts. Today we focus on Dallas Cowboys QB Dak Prescott and his fantasy football potential this year.

Dak Prescott’s Fantasy Football ADP

Prescott’s fantasy football average draft position on MyFantasyLeague.com is 39 — the fourth-highest for a quarterback.

Reasons to draft Dak Prescott

  • During the 2019 season, Prescott set career highs in attempts (596), TD passes (30), yards per attempt (8.2), completions of 20-plus (68) and 40-plus (16) yards while rushing for at least 250 yards and three scores for his fourth straight year.
  • Expect similar paces in his second season with offensive coordinator Kellen Moore and new head coach Mike McCarthy, who both have experience in maximizing the downfield passing skills Prescott boasts.
  • On top of returning pass-catchers Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup, Blake Jarwin, Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard, Prescott gets to welcome arguably the No. 1 wideout taken in the 2020 Draft: Oklahoma alum CeeDee Lamb. He’s spoiled with top-notch weapons; sure, it may be tough to pick which one will excel any given week, but which wideout you draft isn’t Dak’s problem.
  • And if you believe in the intangibles’ effect, Prescott should be even more motivated to prove he’s worth a long-term deal as he plays on a franchise tag.

Reasons not to draft Dak Prescott

  • The biggest debate is whether fantasy football drafters should pay up for a top-end quarterback. You could replicate — to a degree — his production with some names typically selected later.
  • Of course, don’t completely write off simple negative regression of Prescott’s pace of production, which may not separate him as starkly from other top-10 quarterbacks. (Arizona Cardinals QB Kyler Murray, for example, could have a 2019 Prescott type of 2020 season, and he could be had one or more rounds later in most rooms.)
  • This is a nitpick for an emerging fantasy trend: I’m not confident in pairing Prescott with a single receiver on his team to make a QB-WR connection stack (for example, drafting Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes with WR Tyreek Hill and/or TE Travis Kelce). None of Cooper, Gallup, nor Lamb fit the bill.

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Where should I draft Dak Prescott in fantasy football drafts?

First, note what format you’re playing.

My most universal advice: Adjust to the QB market dictated by your league settings and draft opponents. You can generally wait a few rounds after Mahomes and the Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson are drafted to go back to considering a quarterback.

If you’re in a superflex or two-QB format, I could easily see taking Prescott as a borderline first-rounder. The top 7-10 QBs will probably go within the first two or three rounds, and Dak’s floor keeps him in top-5 territory.

In normal setups with one-QB lineups, I probably wouldn’t stretch as aggressively as MyFantasyLeague’s ADP dictates. I start considering quarterback only after getting at least five combined running backs and wide receivers, so Round 6 is where I start to seek him out.

If you think you can wind up waiting until Round 8 or later, pounce, but that probably won’t be the case given Prescott’s high profile and the fact he still has a higher ceiling than even his career year of 2019.