Fantasy football season is in the air and the unique offseason is causing more questions than answers as we enter our fantasy football drafts. Today we focus on Green Bay Packers running back Aaron Jones and his fantasy football potential this year.
Aaron Jones’ Fantasy Football ADP
Average Draft Position on MyFantasyLeague: 19.02 (12 teams, PPR redrafts)
Reasons to draft Aaron Jones
- Jones scored 19 touchdowns from scrimmage last season, the most in the NFL.
- Jones caught a career-high 49 passes last season, averaging 9.7 yards per reception.
- Jones totaled 1,558 yards last season on just 285 touches.
- In Jones’ last 26 games (including the playoffs), he’s totaled 2,412 yards and 31 touchdowns on 447 touches. That equates to 92. 7 yards and 1.2 touchdowns per game.
Reasons not to draft Aaron Jones
- The Packers finished the 2019 season with a 13-3 record, which allowed Jones to play in several positive game scripts. With a win total set at nine heading into the 2020 season, the Packers may not be able to stick with the run game as frequently this year.
- The Packers used the No. 62 pick in the NFL Draft on RB A.J. Dillon, who could be used in short-yardage situations as a rookie.
- With the Packers drafting Dillon, Jones could be used more often in a committee than last season.
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Where should I draft Aaron Jones in fantasy football drafts?
After finishing as the No. 2 RB in PPR leagues last season (19.7 PPG), Jones has emerged as a value in drafts this year. Currently going as RB12 on MyFantasyLeague’s ADP, Jones is being drafted as a low-end RB1 or high-end RB2 by most competitors. He’s being drafted outside of the top 15 picks despite proving what type of ceiling he has in the Packers’ offense.
Considering just how effective he is as a runner and a receiver, it’s hard to see the Packers going away from him anytime soon despite the addition of Dillon. While there is certainly a chance that Dillon cuts into the workload of Jones, it’s worth mentioning that backup Jamaal Williams saw 146 touches last year with the Packers.
Even if Dillon were to approach 170-175 touches, Jones is still dynamic enough to average over 5.3 yards per touch and is a good bet to score double-digit touchdowns once again. Even if Jones ends up in part of a committee, he’s already proven he can be highly useful for fantasy. And if Dillon isn’t ready for that many touches as a rookie, the Packers will lean even more on Jones to carry the load.
If you draw an early pick in your fantasy football drafts, selecting Jones at the bottom of Round 2 would the perfect scenario. But if you have a pick close to the turn in your draft, consider pairing Jones with the likes of Derrick Henry, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, or Joe Mixon in the first round.
Jones remains an excellent value anytime in the second round of your PPR drafts and should easily return value once again this season.