What’s Brady’s over/under for passing yards in 2020?

Jenna Laine explains why you should take the over when it comes to Brady’s passing yards in ESPN’s player prop predictions for all 32 teams.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers tied for third in the league last year in scoring, so the addition of Tom Brady has many people thinking the Bucs will have the NFL’s best offense in 2020, especially after the team acquired tight end Rob Gronkowski in a trade with the Patriots.

Former Bucs quarterback Jameis Winston threw for 5,109 yards, along with 30 interceptions, and Brady, himself, has eclipsed the 5,000-yard mark before (5,235 yards in 2011). So, could Brady do it again in 2020 given the talent he has on offense? It wouldn’t shock anyone if he did.

What might be shocking, though, is the over/under on passing yards Caesars Sportsbook gave Brady: 4,099.5 passing yards. Jenna Laine said taking the over is the safe bet in this case.

Per Laine:

“Bruce Arians’ offense is built for pushing the ball downfield — his quarterbacks in Tampa Bay and Arizona have averaged 4,174.5 passing yards per season — and Arians doesn’t believe Brady’s arm strength has declined. Only twice in the past 10 seasons has Brady failed to reach the 4,000-yard passing mark, and one of those instances was in 2016, when he played in only 12 regular-season games. And although it’s improving, the Bucs haven’t had the most reliable ground game, averaging 95.1 rushing yards per game last season, which ranked 24th in the league.”

I feel like the line should’ve been set more towards 4,250 yards. I think Brady could have a big year in Tampa Bay, but again, being able to get on the field and work with his new teammates is a vital step in that process. Hopefully, he’ll get that opportunity soon.

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