What is the Commanders’ ceiling and floor for 2024?

There’s a significant disparity between Washington’s ceiling and floor for 2024.

How good can the Washington Commanders be in 2024? Is it somehow possible for the Commanders to win four or fewer games this season? Washington finished 4-13 last season and cleaned house.

There’s no way the revamped Commanders aren’t better than the 2023 version, right?

New quarterback Jayden Daniels has given Washington hope. New head coach Dan Quinn and GM Adam Peters revamped the defense. It’s difficult to imagine a Quinn-led defense finishing last in the NFL, where the Commanders were in 2023.

ESPN recently revealed its win-loss record ceilings and floors for all 32 NFL teams. Washington’s floor and ceiling are very different. ESPN has the Commanders’ ceiling at 9-8 and their floor at 4-13.

Washington’s ESPN NFL reporter John Keim called the offensive line the X-factor:

The Commanders revamped their line, adding three new starters — center Tyler Biadasz, guard Nick Allegretti and rookie tackle Brandon Coleman. Washington allowed a franchise-record 65 sacks last season, although the playcalling and quarterback Sam Howell were big reasons why. But if the Commanders receive solid play up front, they can provide a tremendous boost to rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels and allow new OC Kliff Kingsbury to run a more varied attack.

The Commanders’ interior offensive line will be much better if they stay healthy. Right guard Sam Cosmi is an emerging star, and Biadasz will add stability at center. The Commanders needed to find a sturdy veteran center for Daniels, and Biadasz fits that bill.

Even if Washington struggles at times, this team should win more than four games.