With the playoff expanding to 12, there’s more room for error. But LSU’s chances still took a hit after the week one loss to USC.
According to ESPN’s FPI, LSU’s playoff hopes are just 5.9% now. That’s still better than most, but LSU has an uphill battle to fight if it envisions playing postseason football.
FPI puts LSU’s projected win total at 6.6 with a slew of tough opponents remaining. Finishing with just six or seven wins would come as a disappointment to fans, especially after the double-digit win campaigns of 2022 and 2023.
When it comes to winning out, the chance is close to zero. FPI gives LSU less than a 1% chance of sweeping the remaining schedule.
The good news is LSU’s toughest opponents from here on out will travel to Tiger Stadium. Brian Kelly’s squad will get home-field advantage for the Ole Miss, Alabama and Oklahoma games.
LSU’s overall FPI ranks No. 17 nationally and the Tigers have a .09% chance of winning the conference.
According to TeamRankings, LSU’s most likely record is 8-4 with a 2.5% chance of winning the SEC.
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