The Western Michigan Broncos (3-5, 2-2 MAC) meet the Bowling Green Falcons (4-4, 3-1) Wednesday at Doyt L. Perry Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Western Michigan vs. Bowling Green odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Broncos kept their postseason aspirations alive last weekend with a 16-10 road win against Miami-Ohio as 7.5-point underdogs. The offense struggled yet again, however, and has now posted 23 or fewer points 5 times in the last 6 games. It’s no surprise the Under is 4-1 across WMU’s past 5 outings.
The Falcons are flying high these days, with a chance to pull into a 3-way tie for first in the MAC’s East Division thanks to Ohio’s win over Buffalo Tuesday. BGSU still has Ohio yet to play, so we could see brown and orange in the MAC title game in Detroit in December if things break right. A win here is key.
Bowling Green has covered a season-high 2 games in a row and looks to cover a 3rd straight for the first time since opening the 2021 campaign on a 5-0 ATS run.
Doyt L. Perry Stadium is a great place to see a college football game in November, especially when the Falcons are going well. Extra points if you get a chance to catch them against I-75 rival Toledo in a couple of weeks.
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Western Michigan at Bowling Green odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Western Michigan +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Bowling Green -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Western Michigan +4 (-110) | Bowling Green -4 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 48 (O: -110 | U: -114)
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Western Michigan at Bowling Green and predictions
Prediction
Bowling Green 26, Western Michigan 20
Moneyline
Bowling Green (-210) had its highest output in a conference game this season when it scored 34 points in last weekend’s win over Central Michigan in Mount Pleasant.
The Falcons haven’t been .500 or better this late in a season since the 2015 campaign when they last qualified for the postseason, losing to Georgia Southern in the GoDaddy Bowl in Alabama.
I think the Falcons get to 5-4 with a win, but risking more than 2 times your potential return is a little too pricey.
PASS.
Against the spread
BOWLING GREEN -4 (-110) is a better play laying the points.
Western Michigan has had difficulty in conference games, going 4-10-1 ATS in the past 15 MAC contests, while posting a dismal 1-4 ATS mark in the previous 5 November outings.
Bowling Green comes with some risk as it is just 11-26 ATS in the past 37 home games, but that’s a trend to dismiss. The kids who did most of that non-covering are no longer on the team. What matters more is this season, and the Falcons are a healthy 2-1 SU/ATS in 3 home games vs. FBS teams.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 48 (-114), but go a half-unit at the most.
The Under has cashed in 4 of the past 5 games overall for Western Michigan, and it has averaged just 14.4 PPG in its past 5 against FBS teams.
Bowling Green was in the same boat until their win at CMU last time out. It has scored just 24 combined points in its previous 2 outings at home against Buffalo and Miami-Ohio.
That’s why the books are going low, and why we’re siding with the Under, too.
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