The Washington Nationals (53-69) and Milwaukee Brewers (75-49) play the finale of a three-game set Sunday at American Family Field with a 2:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze the lines around the Nationals vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Nationals LHP Sean Nolin (0-1, 12.00 ERA) makes his second start. He allowed 4 earned runs on 8 hits over 3 innings in a loss in his season debut Aug. 12, against the New York Mets.
- Nolin’s start against the Mets was his first appearance in the majors since an Oct. 3, 2015, start as a member of the Oakland Athletics.
Brewers RHP Adrian Houser (7-5, 3.55 ERA) makes his 20th start and his 22nd appearance. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 6.9 K/9 and 4.2 BB/9 through 104 IP.
- Allowed 1 run on no hits and 5 walks with 4 strikeouts across 6 1/3 innings in a no-decision against the Pittsburgh Pirates in his most recent outing Aug. 3.
- Houser rejoined the team Monday for a bullpen session after finishing a 10-day quarantine at home after testing positive for COVID-19.
Nationals at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Nationals +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Brewers -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-112) | Brewers -1.5 (-108)
- Over/Under: 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)
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Prediction
Brewers 7, Nationals 5
Money line (ML)
The Brewers (-220) bounced back with a 9-6 win over the Nationals in the middle game to square the series and now look for the three-game win.
They’re a good bet against Nolin, who is making just his second start in the majors after a six-year hiatus. However, Milwaukee is risky with Houser returning from the COVID list.
PASS.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Take BREWERS -1.5 (-108) lightly on the run line instead of risking more than two times your potential return on the money line.
This is likely to be a higher-scoring affair, as Nolin is rather unproven, and Houser could have some rust after a two-week layoff. Milwaukee covered the run line Saturday and should get it done again Sunday, too. Houser has been a good luck charm for the Brew Crew, as they’re 9-1 across his last 10 starts.
Over/Under (O/U)
The OVER 9.5 (+100) is the best play on the board in this series finale. Nolin was a bit shaky in his season debut last time out, and Houser is returning from the COVID list, so rust could be an issue.
The Over is 3-0 across Houser’s past three starts and 6-1 across his past seven starts.
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