The Washington Nationals (1-3) and Los Angeles Dodgers (6-2) continue their weekend set Saturday evening with a 9:10 p.m. ET first pitch at Dodger Stadium. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Patrick Corbin is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals. Corbin started the season on the COVID-19 injured list but was cleared for action for this turn against the Dodgers. A year ago, Corbin went 2-7 with a 4.66 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 in 65 2/3 IP over 11 starts.
The Washington southpaw logged a 6.59 ERA over five road turns in 2020; his career road ERA of 4.41 is more than a run higher than his 3.32 home mark.
LHP Julio Urias is the projected starter for the Dodgers. He appeared in 11 games last season, going 3-0 with a 3.27 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 7.4 K/9, and 2.9 BB/9 over 55 IP. The 24-year-old lefty got his 2021 season off to a good start with a fine seven-inning outing at the Colorado Rockies April 4 (7 IP, 1 ER on 3 H).
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Nationals at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:40 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Nationals +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Dodgers -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-140) | Dodgers -1.5 (+115)
- Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Dodgers 5, Nationals 4
Money line (ML)
The Nationals got off to a late start to the season due to COVID-19 protocols. Now, the team may be back but the offense is not. The Nats were blanked 1-0 in Friday’s series opener, and the game marked their second in a row without a run.
With players — including Corbin — starting to filter back into the lineup, Washington’s overall fitness and readiness level is an evolving situation. It’d be best to avoid full-unit plays on the Nats until things solidify a bit.
The slightest lean is on WASHINGTON (+150) in Saturday’s contest.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS on the run line. Taking an outright swing is the best play for a side here.
Over/Under (O/U)
The OVER 7.5 (-110) is the strongest play in this contest. The Dodgers offense is cranked up, averaging 5.62 runs per game on the strength of an .865 OPS. The Nats offense is going to get better; the question is when?
A road contest against a lefty starter puts Washington in line with its best splits from last season.
A light hitter’s breeze in the forecast doesn’t hurt.
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