After taking the series opener 5-4. the Washington Nationals (65-92) hope to clinch a series win over the Colorado Rockies (71-85) on Tuesday. First pitch is 8:40 p.m. ET at Coors Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Nationals vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Nationals LHP Patrick Corbin (9-15, 5.92 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.47 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 165 2/3 IP.
- He faced the Rockies two starts ago Sept. 18, and took the loss, allowing six runs on 10 hits in four innings.
- The Nationals have won three of his last four starts and, aside from the start against the Rockies, Corbin has allowed only five earned runs in 20 2/3 innings in the month of September.
Rockies LHP Kyle Freeland (6-8, 4.50 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 through 114 IP.
- Freeland beat the Nationals 6-0 on the road, facing Corbin two starts ago Sept. 18. He allowed seven hits in six scoreless innings.
- The Rockies have lost three of Freeland’s last four starts.
Nationals at Rockies odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:45 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Nationals +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Rockies -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-170) | Rockies -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under: 11.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)
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Prediction
Rockies 6, Nationals 4
Money line (ML)
The Nationals’ win Monday night snapped a three-game road losing streak. They have lost their last three games of their road trip and are 30-49 on the road this season.
The Rockies are 46-33 at home but have dropped six of seven in this homestand, dropping five of six to the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Francisco Giants, who are battling for the NL West title, and Monday’s game against the Nationals.
They have not won fewer than two games in any home series this season.
Take the ROCKIES (-135).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Nationals are 74-83 ATS overall this season and 40-39 ATS on the road. Colorado is No. 1 in the league against the spread at home at 47-32 ATS.
Of their last 10 losses, the Nationals lost by only 1 run five times. Five of the last eight wins for the Rockies were by 1 run.
The Rockies have failed to cover the spread in five straight games. It is the longest such streak they have had.
I don’t expect the streak will continue. Take the ROCKIES -1.5 (+135).
Over/Under (O/U)
Despite the reputation, only 42.9% of the games at Coors Field went Over the projected total this season.
Only two of the Rockies’ seven games so far in the homestand finished with 12 or more runs. Only four of their last 17 overall had 12-plus runs.
Six of the Nationals’ last 12 games had a total of 12 or more runs.
Take UNDER 11.5 (-105).
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