The Washington Nationals (18-35) and Cincinnati Reds (18-32) continue a 4-game series along the banks of the Ohio River Friday. The contest at Great American Ball Park is slated for a 6:40 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Cincinnati leads 1-0.
The Nationals have lost 4 consecutive games. They are 3-12 with an untenable 6.35 ERA on the road since May 4.
The Reds took Thursday’s series opener 8-1. Cincy is a solid 15-10 since starting the season with a woeful 3-22 mark. The club has banged out a .277/.367/.473 (.840 OPS) slash line over at home since May 7.
Nationals at Reds projected starters
RHP Josiah Gray vs. LHP Mike Minor
Gray (5-4, 5.08 ERA) makes his 11th start of the 2022 campaign. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 through 51 1/3 IP.
- Has logged a series of off-and-on starts of late, but has pitched better in road games (2.42 ERA, 0.99 WHIP).
Minor is making his first start of the season after suffering a shoulder injury in spring training. He’s logged a 4.11 ERA and 1.23 WHIP over 10 Major League seasons.
- Made 5 rehab starts. Went 6 innings and threw 79 pitches in that game a week ago, so major pitch count limitations don’t appear to be a concern.
- Logged a 5.05 ERA in 158 2/3 IP last season for the Kansas City Royals.
Nationals at Reds odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 8 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Nationals +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Reds -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL): Nationals +1.5 (-180) | Reds -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Nationals at Reds picks and predictions
Prediction
Nationals 5, Reds 4
Money line
Peg a lean on the NATS (+110) here, although it’s a much more palatable play at +115 or higher. Washington is entering the territory where Cincinnati was a month ago: buried by some bad rates around the margins and ready to break out as a solid betting option if not a solid baseball team.
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Run line/Against the spread
Too much juice to overcome here: PASS.
Over/Under
With a lean toward both bullpens being slightly better than the bottom-feeder numbers they’ve hoisted so far, this high total has a bit of play on the Under side.
Gray has been good on the road, and he’s pitching behind a club that has logged run totals of 0, 0 and 1 over its last 3 games, respectively. Mix in an unusually dry evening in Cincinnati and both bullpens being in solid shape, and BACK THE UNDER 9.5 (-110).
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