The Washington Nationals (8-11) visit the Atlanta Braves (13-10) for a three-game set at Truist Park, starting Monday at 7:10 p.m. ET. We analyze the Nationals-Braves MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Sunday: Both clubs won to take two of three in their respective weekend series. The Nationals won at the Baltimore Orioles 6-5, while the Braves blanked the Miami Marlins 4-0.
Nationals at Braves: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Anibal Sanchez vs. RHP Touki Toussaint
Sanchez this season: 0-3, 9.69 ERA (14 ER, 13 IP) in 3 starts
- Last start: Loss, 2 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 2 K at New York Mets Wednesday – Nats lost 11-6
- 2019 vs. Braves: 3-0, 3.41 ERA (11 ER, 29 IP) in 5 starts
- Career vs. Braves: 8-11, 4.64 ERA (67 ER, 130 IP) in 23 starts
Toussaint this season: 0-1, 7.27 ERA (14 ER, 17 1/3 IP) in 4 games (3 starts)
- Last start: Loss, 5 ER, 4 IP, 4 H, 1 BB, 3 K at New York Yankees Tuesday – Braves lost 9-6
- 2019 vs. Nationals: 0-0, 5.68 ERA (4 ER, 6 1/3 IP) in 3 relief appearances
- Career vs. Nationals: 0-0, 8.59 ERA (7 ER, 7 1/3 IP) in 4 relief appearances
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Nationals at Braves: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Nationals
- 2B Starlin Castro (wrist) out
- RP Sean Doolittle (knee) out
- 2B Howie Kendrick (hamstring) questionable
- 1B Ryan Zimmerman (personal) opted out of the season
Braves
- OF Ronald Acuna Jr. (wrist) out
- 1B Matt Adams (hamstring) out
- 2B Ozzie Albies (wrist) out
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Nationals at Braves: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:20 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Braves 5, Nationals 3
Moneyline (ML)
The Nationals (+140) would be the play if any of their other SPs were taking the mound, but with Sanchez and his 9.69 ERA and 2.15 WHIP on the hill, they cannot be trusted. I’m putting my money on the BRAVES (-154), making this my STRONGEST PLAY, as the two NL East rivals meet for the first time in 2020.
New to sports betting? Every $1.54 bet on the Braves ML profits $1 if they win. A $1 winning bet on the Nationals profits $1.40.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS. Both clubs are flat-out awful against the run line. Atlanta (-1, -115) is 1-6 vs. the RL in its last seven games and 3-9 in its last 12. Washington (+1, -106) is also 1-6 vs. the RL in its last seven and an even worse 2-10 in its last 12. No thanks!
Over/Under (O/U)
I’d lean to the Over 10 (-110) if Acuna and Albies were in the Atlanta lineup, but they’re both on the 10-day injured list. As for Washington, opponents scored 11 runs in each of Sanchez’s last two starts.
Back to the Braves: Their last five wins – and seven of their last eight – haven’t seen more than 8 total runs scored (by both teams). Just too many contradicting trends, making this a PASS.
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| Johnny’s 2020 MLB record | 28-14 |
| 2020 overall record | 68-40-1 |
| Strongest plays | 35-16 |
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