Washington Commanders at Miami Dolphins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Washington Commanders at Miami Dolphins odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Miami Dolphins welcome the Washington Commanders to Hard Rock Stadium for Week 2 of the preseason Saturday. Kickoff is set for 7 p.m. ET (NFL Network). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Dolphins vs. Commanders odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Commanders fans finally got a look at their prized No. 2 overall pick QB Jayden Daniels in Week 1 of the preseason, and the rookie did not disappoint. He connected with WR Dyami Brown on a perfectly placed 42-yard pass which set up his 3-yard touchdown run. Washington fell 20-17, but the fans saw exactly what they wanted to see from the future of their franchise. Coach Dan Quinn confirmed that Daniels will start against the Dolphins.

Miami did not play many offensive starters in its preseason opener against the Atlanta Falcons, but prevailed 20-13. The bulk of the quarterback snaps were split between Skylar Thompson and Mike White, who combined to go 12 of 33 for just over 100 yards. When asked if he’d play against Washington Saturday, QB Tua Tagovailoa replied, “I hope so.” The second preseason game is typically the dress rehearsal for the regular season.

Commanders at Dolphins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Commanders +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Bears -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Commanders +5 (-110) | Bears -5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 38 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Commanders at Dolphins picks and predictions

Prediction

Commanders 17, Dolphins 14

Moneyline

BET COMMANDERS (+185).

The questions about whether or not Tagovailoa is playing gives me pause to back the favored Dolphins. That also calls into question whether Miami will play its starters at all. The Commanders will give us a good look at their rookie Daniels, who should continue to shine in the preseason.

If Tua does not go, the combination of Thompson and White disappointed in Atlanta. They looked out of sorts and neither guy could sustain a drive. I’m going to bet the team with less question marks heading into the game.

Against the spread

Betting the spread? Preseason games are too volatile to get reasonable trends. Neither team will show all its schemes on offense or defense. Starters will only play a portion of the game, if at all.

PASS.

Over/Under

All the trends heading into this game are screaming to bet the Under. The total has gone Under in 5 of Miami’s last 6 games, also in 5 of the last 6 meetings between these teams. Oh, and the Under has hit in 4 of Miami’s last 5 games at home.

Both teams went Under the total in their 1st preseason games as well.

BET UNDER 38 (-110).

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