The Boston Bruins look to put the Washington Capitals on the brink of elimination in Game 4 of their East Division Semifinal series Friday. Puck drop at TD Garden will be at 6:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Capitals-Bruins Game 3 odds and lines, with NHL picks and predictions.
All three games in this series went to overtime. The Capitals won Game 1 3-2 on home ice, but the Bruins responded with back-to-back wins, including Wednesday’s 3-2 victory in double overtime.
The Bruins have outshot the Capitals 117-108 thus far while outscoring them just 9-8. Boston beat the higher-seeded Capitals 4-2-2 in the regular season while narrowly outscoring them 26-25.
Capitals at Bruins: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:32 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Capitals +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Bruins -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Capitals +1.5 (-190) | Bruins -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under: 5.5 (O: +115 | U: -135)
Capitals at Bruins: Projected starting goalies
Ilya Samsonov (13-4-1, .902 SV%, 2.69 GAA) at Tuukka Rask (15-5-2, .913 SV%, 2.28 GAA)
Samsonov’s start in Game 3 was his first career playoff appearance. He was sidelined due to COVID-19 protocols for Games 1 and 2 but stopped 40 of 43 shots in his first game since May 1. He was 0-1-0 with a .872 save percentage and 3.66 goals against average in 2 games against Boston in the regular season.
Rask has stopped 100 of 108 shots through three postseason games and remains firmly in control of the Boston crease. He was 7-2-1 with a .908 SV% and 2.27 GAA in 11 home games in the regular season.
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Capitals at Bruins: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Capitals 3, Bruins 2
Money line (ML)
The CAPITALS (+135) are getting too high of a number for how tight this series has been through three games. The +135 odds represent an implied win probability of 42.55%.
Washington held a lead with under 10 minutes remaining in each of the last two games and will be able to hold on as Samsonov settles into full-time starting duties.
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Against the spread (ATS)
CAPITALS +1.5 (-190) is a safe play but without nearly as much value as the money line.
These two teams played each other close all year with the last four meetings dating back to the regular season decided by a single goal.
Over/Under (O/U)
Take the UNDER 5.5 (-140) after just 5 goals were scored in two of the first three games of this series, even with all three going beyond 60 minutes.
Three of the last four games for both teams played to a total of 5 or fewer goals.
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