The Virginia Cavaliers (1-3, 1-3 ACC) and Miami Hurricanes (4-1, 3-1) meet at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla., for an 8 p.m. ET kickoff Saturday. Below, we analyze the Virginia-Miami college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
Virginia at Miami: Betting odds and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 4:35 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Virginia +345 (bet $100 to win $345) | Miami -455 (bet $455 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Virginia +13.5 (-106) | Miami -13.5 (-115)
- Over/Under: 55.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Virginia at Miami: Three things to know
- The big concern for Virginia is under center as QB Brennan Armstrong (concussion) remains in concussion protocol. As such, UVA is reportedly considering a three-QB system, something it did in a 40-23 loss at Wake Forest last week. Lindell Stone started vs. the Demon Deacons, with Mississippi State grad transfer Keytaon Thompson and dual-threat freshman Iraken Armstead also seeing time.
- Miami bounced back after its blowout road loss to Clemson with a 31-19 win against Pittsburgh, narrowly cashing as an 11.5-point favorite last Saturday. The Hurricanes are a perfect 3-0 SU/ATS at home, and they have scored at least 31 points in each outing at Hard Rock.
- The Hurricanes offensive attack has been rather balanced, averaging 228.0 passing yards per game to rank 42nd in the country, with 179.0 rushing YPG to check in at 22nd. Those numbers would be even higher, but they only had 89 yards on the ground and 121 through the air at Clemson.
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Virginia at Miami: Odds, prediction, betting lines and picks
Prediction
Miami 41, Virginia 17
Money line (ML)
Backing Miami (-455) on its home field is tempting, but this price is just way too expensive. AVOID and look to the spread instead.
Against the spread (ATS)
MIAMI -13.5 (-115) is a great play. Yes, the Hurricanes didn’t measure up against Clemson a couple of weeks ago, but not many do. The ‘Canes have been lights out on their home field, winning and covering all three times, and their offense has been great in doing so. It helps when UAB, Florida State and Pitt are the opponents in those games, but Virginia is in that same class. The Cavs’ three-QB system won’t befuddle the Hurricanes, either. In fact, it will likely work to the detriment of continuity for the Hoos.
Over/Under (O/U)
The OVER 55.5 (-110) is the way to go. It has cashed in all four games for Virginia, mainly due to a lack of defense. It has coughed up 34.8 PPG, good for just 62nd in the land. And the Cavaliers have allowed 40.5 PPG in two road outings, too. Look for the Hurricanes to add to their woes in a high-scoring game.
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