Value play: Bet Atlanta Falcons’ Kirk Cousins to win NFL Comeback Player of the Year

Analyzing the 2024 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award odds, including an expert prediction and best bet.

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The last 6 winners of the NFL Comeback Player of the Year award have been quarterbacks. They overcame serious injuries or did not play much because they were a backup.

This season, New York Jets QB Aaron Rodgers, Cincinnati Bengals QB Joe Burrow, Atlanta Falcons QB Kirk Cousins and Indianapolis Colts QB Anthony Richardson are coming off serious season-ending injuries.

Below, we analyze the 2024 NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds from BetMGM Sportsbook and make the best suggestion among our expert NFL picks and predictions.

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2024 NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday, July 18 at 8:24 p.m. ET.

  • QB Aaron Rodgers, New York Jets (+130)
  • QB Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals (+240)
  • QB Kirk Cousins, Atlanta Falcons (+500)
  • QB Anthony Richardson, Indianapolis Colts (+700)
  • RB Nick Chubb, Cleveland Browns (+1200)

NOTABLE

+2000: QB Deshaun Watson (Browns)

+2500: QB Daniel Jones (Giants)

+3000: RB J.K. Dobbins (Ravens), QB Justin Herbert (Chargers), QB Kyler Murray (Cardinals)

+3500: QB Justin Fields (Steelers)

+12500: QB Mitchell Trubisky (Bills)

+20000: QB Desmond Ridder (Cardinals)

For full list, see BetMGM Sportsbook.

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NFL Comeback Player of the Year best bet

QB Kirk Cousins, Atlanta Falcons (+500)

Rodgers is the favorite at +130 and is a good candidate because he only lasted 4 plays last season in his first year with the Jets. He has weapons to throw to and is one of the best QBs in the league. However, that +130 doesn’t offer much value.

If you want a combination of likelihood of winning and value, Cousins is the guy to bet on at +500.

He was playing at a high level before going down midseason with a torn Achilles. He is with a new team in Atlanta, which won 7 games last season despite below-average quarterback play. The Falcons have a good number of offensive weapons for Cousins to thrive.

Cousins, with RBs Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier, TE Kyle Pitts and WRs Drake LondonDarnell Mooney and Rondale Moore, can lead the Falcons to a division title and put up his customary 4,000-plus passing yards.

Coming back from the injury, putting up volume numbers and leading a team to an NFC South title makes Cousins a great value pick for the award.

BET KIRK COUSINS to win NFL COMEBACK PLAYER OF THE YEAR (+500).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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