The Philadelphia 76ers (14-11) host the Utah Jazz (17-7) at Wells Fargo Center Thursday for a 7 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Jazz vs. 76ers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.
Both teams are playing in the second of a back-to-back with Utah clubbing the Minnesota Timberwolves 136-104 and Philly holding off the Charlotte Hornets 110-106 Wednesday.
The Jazz have won six of their last seven games but have only covered in two of those wins. Utah is 13-11 ATS and 13-11 O/U with the second-best net rating. The Sixers have five of their last eight games but covered just three. Philly is 11-13-1 ATS and 9-14-2 O/U with the 10th-best net rating.
The Sixers are 4-2 overall against the Jazz when both Sixers big Joel Embiid and Jazz big Rudy Gobert play. Embiid leads in points per game 23.8-15.0, rebounds per game 12.8-11.3 and blocks per game 2.3-1.5 in those contests.
These teams have exchanged victories in each of the last six meetings with Utah winning the first of this season 120-85 Nov. 16. However, the Sixers have covered seven of their last nine games versus the Jazz.
Jazz at 76ers odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:48 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Jazz -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | 76ers +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Against the spread (ATS): Jazz -3.5 (-107) | 76ers +3.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 216.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Jazz at 76ers key injuries
Jazz
- Nothing affecting the gambling odds.
76ers
- Nothing affecting the gambling odds.
Jazz at 76ers odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
76ers 111, Jazz 105
Money line
SPRINKLE on the 76ERS (+125) with a tiny wager but hit Philly’s spread harder. Much of Utah’s success is predicated it having the most dominant interior presence on the floor, but Embiid is that guy in this matchup.
Embiid’s on/off court efficiency differential grades 18 percentage points higher for bigs than Gobert’s according to CleaningTheGlass.com. Gobert cannot play as much help defense and it’s harder for him to get easy putbacks with Embiid on the floor.
Philly’s defense also does a good job making Jazz guard Donovan Mitchell work for his points. Spida has a 42.6% true shooting percentage (.357/.236/.667) with a minus-21 net rating in nine career games versus the Sixers. Mitchell has made less than 40% of his shots in six of those games.
Again, the plan is to bet more on Philly getting points but I “LEAN” to the 76ERS (+125).
Against the spread
Definitely BET 76ERS +3.5 (-107) heavier than, or instead of, Philly’s money line because the Sixers are 7-3-1 ATS as a home underdog over the past three seasons with a plus-5.2 spread differential.
More importantly, there’s a lot separating these two sides so it’s just wiser to take the points with Philly.
Over/Under
PASS with a slight “lean” to the Under 216.5 (-110) because the house has been encouraging action on the Under and its cashed in 11 of the last 16 Jazz-76ers meetings.
A vast majority of the market is backing the Over according to pregame.com so you have a “fade the public” angle here. However, simply put, I just don’t like either side of the total enough to get down. PASS.
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