Utah Jazz at Milwaukee Bucks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Utah Jazz at Milwaukee Bucks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Utah Jazz (17-14) battle the Milwaukee Bucks (20-8) at Fiserv Forum Saturday. Tip from Milwaukee is set for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Jazz vs. Bucks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Jazz beat the New Orleans Pelicans 132-129 in overtime Thursday, covering as a 1-point home underdog. With the against-the-spread (ATS) win, Utah pushed its record to 18-13 ATS. The Jazz have now covered 3 straight games and are 6-4 ATS over their last 10.

The Bucks were thrashed 142-101 by the Memphis Grizzlies Thursday, falling well short of covering as 3-point road underdogs. Milwaukee’s ATS record is 15-11-2 and it is 4-4-2 ATS over its last 10. Milwaukee’s strength is defense as it allows 4th fewest points per game in the NBA (108.8).

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Jazz at Bucks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Jazz +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Bucks -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Jazz +4.5 (-115) | Bucks -4.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 229.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Jazz at Bucks key injuries

Jazz

  • G Collin Sexton (hamstring) out

Bucks

  • F Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) questionable
  • G Jrue Holiday (non-Covid illness) probable
  • G Khris Middleton (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Jazz at Bucks picks and predictions

Prediction

Bucks 114, Jazz 112

Moneyline

PASS.

I like the Jazz (+150) to cover but am not confident enough to play them straight up. Look to the points for value.

Against the spread

BET JAZZ +4.5 (-115).

The Jazz continue to shock NBA fans and are one of the best ATS teams in the league, covering their last 3 outings.

They’ve done that by their highly efficient offense, ranking 2nd in points per game (117.9), 9th in field goal percentage (47.6%) and 7th in three-point percentage (37.0%).

They also have elite 3-point defense, ranking 3rd in opponents’ three-point shooting (33.7%). The Jazz are 9-6 ATS on the road as well, one of just 11 teams with a road-covering record better than .500.

With the Bucks’ 2nd-best offensive option injured and their 2 other stars both showing up on the injury report, I would be hesitant to back them here. BET JAZZ +4.5 (-115).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 229.5 (-105).

The combination of Sexton and Middleton being out should hurt the offensive firepower in this game.

The Bucks are just 13-15 O/U this season and have gone Under in 4 of their last 7 games. The Jazz have gone Under in 3 of their last 4 contests and 4 of their last 6.

Considering both teams rank top 10 in opponents’ three-point shooting, the volume scoring could be limited. With the trends in mind, back the UNDER 229.5 (-105).

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