The Indiana Pacers (12-11) host the Utah Jazz (18-5) on Super Bowl Sunday at Bankers Life Fieldhouse for a 1 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Jazz-Pacers NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
After having an 11-game win streak snapped by the Denver Nuggets last Sunday, Utah is back to its winning ways and has won three games in a row. The Jazz rank second in net rating thanks to the fourth-highest effective field goal percentage (eFG%) while holding opponents to the lowest eFG%.
Indiana isn’t playing well entering Sunday as losers of back-to-back games and a 1-4 record (1-4 against the spread) over the previous five games. The Pacers shoot the ball well—seventh in eFG%—but are a terrible rebounding team, ranking 29th in total rebounding rate.
These teams split the series 1-1 last regular season with each home team winning by at least 19 points. In fact, the last six Jazz-Pacers games have been blowouts with all decided by at least 19 points. Indiana holds a 4-2 ATS edge in those contests.
Jazz at Pacers: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Jazz -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Pacers +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
- Against the spread/ATS: Jazz -5.5 (-110) | Pacers +5.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 225.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Jazz at Pacers: Key injuries
Jazz
- PG Mike Conley (hamstring) out
Pacers
- SG Caris LeVert (medical condition) out
- SF T.J. Warren (foot) out
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Jazz at Pacers: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Jazz 115, Pacers 107
Money line (ML)
PASS on the money line because no NBA team is worth this kind of risk for a straight-up win in the regular season.
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Against the spread (ATS)
No one has matched up well against Utah, but this is an especially bad matchup for Indiana. The Pacers have the worst 3-point defense in the Association and the Jazz have the second-highest 3-point percentage.
The Pacers do a good job keeping teams from attempting threes but their aggressive perimeter defense comes at a cost. Indiana’s rebounding issue could put it in a real bind this game. If the Pacers’ backcourt sells out to keep Utah from torching them from three, then their guards might not be able to help grab boards.
My one major concern is Conley being sidelined with an injury because he leads the team in on-off net rating and has historically defended Pacers PG Malcolm Brogdon well.
However, the Jazz are so much deeper than the Pacers—Utah’s bench averages the sixth-most points per game compared to Indiana scoring at the third-lowest bench PPG. TAKE the JAZZ -5.5 (-110) for 1 unit.
Over/Under (O/U)
My buy price on an Over is 220.5 and there’s no way I play an Under in this game because I have more faith in Indiana’s offense putting up some points than its defense slowing down Utah and Conley’s absence impacts the Jazz’s defense more than the offense.
PASS ON THE TOTAL.
Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Also see:
- NBA All-Star 2021: Rookies absent from initial fan voting results (Rookie Wire)
- Hoops Hype rumors: Jazz | Pacers
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