Utah Jazz at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Utah Jazz at Golden State Warriors odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Utah Jazz (46-31) visit Chase Center Saturday to take on the Golden State Warriors (48-29). Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Jazz vs. Warriors odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

With the Warriors having slowly fallen out of the top spot in the Western Conference, they’ll now have to stave off Utah and Denver for 4th in the standings as the season winds down.

This is an extremely important game for West seeding.

The Dubs will be without two-time MVP PG Stephen Curry. Since his injury March 16, the Warriors are just 1-6 and 2-5 against the spread (ATS). Golden State is 37-36-4 ATS on the season.

As for Utah, it is coming off a 13-point home win over the Lakers Thursday, just failing to cover as a 14-point favorite. The Jazz are 31-43-3 ATS this season.

SG Donovan Mitchell leads the Jazz in points (26.1), assists (5.4) and steals (1.5) per game. They are 1-2 straight up and 1-1-1 ATS against the Warriors this season.

Jazz at Warriors odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:15 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Jazz -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Warriors +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread: Jazz -1.5 (-115) | Warriors +1.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 217.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

Jazz at Warriors key injuries

Jazz

  • C Hassan Whiteside (foot) questionable

Warriors

  • PG Stephen Curry (foot) out

[tipico]

Jazz at Warriors odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Jazz 115, Warriors 109

Money line

PASS.

Utah has just one 1-point victory this entire season. Considering how the Warriors have played without Curry, I’ll take Utah to win by more than 1.

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Against the spread

LEAN to the JAZZ -1.5 (-115).

The Warriors can’t be trusted to produce without Curry on the floor. They’ve struggled against the spread and straight-up with their star sidelined.

Finally healthy, the Jazz have all the momentum. Their size, behind C Rudy Gobert, should overpower the Warriors’ frontcourt.

The Jazz have the No. 1 offensive rating in the NBA. That’s by no accident either as they’ve been unstoppable. The Warriors’ defensive rating, which was at historic levels for most of the season, has relapsed to No. 3.

Over their last 6 games, the Dubs’ offensive rating has fallen to No. 29. The only way to play a Curry-less Warriors is by betting on their opponents.

In this instance, it’s the surging JAZZ -1.5 (-115).

Over/Under

BET OVER 217.5 (-107).

The Jazz have gone Over the projected total in back-to-back games, while the Warriors are 3-2 O/U in their last 5.

While Curry being out has hurt the Warriors’ offense, his defensive aptitude has also been a factor in their struggles, having fallen to No. 14 in defensive rating since his absence. It’s unlikely Golden State will have much ability to limit Utah.

Golden State SG Jordan Poole has averaged 28.1 points per game since Curry’s injury. Poole may be able to have his way against Utah PG Mike Conley and a defense that allows the 18th-most points to opposing guards.

Combine it all, and I’ll take the OVER 217.5 (-107).

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