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The Utah Jazz (1-2) and Denver Nuggets (3-0) meet Monday at Ball Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Jazz vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: First meeting; split last season’s series 2-2
The Jazz failed to cover the spread as 5.5-point underdogs in a 126-104 loss at the Phoenix Suns as the Over (223) hit Saturday. Utah had 19 turnovers, and F Lauri Markkanen led the Jazz with 19 points.
The Nuggets covered as 3.5-point favorites with a 128-95 win at the Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday as the Under (229.5) cashed. C Nikola Jokić finished with 28 points and 14 rebounds for the Nuggets, who shot 60.2% from the field.
The Under went 3-1 in last season’s meetings. The home team won each meeting straight up and Utah covered in 3 of the 4 games.
Jazz at Nuggets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:42 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Jazz +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Nuggets -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Jazz +7.5 (-105) | Nuggets -7.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 227.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Jazz at Nuggets key injuries
Jazz
- None
Nuggets
- Not yet submitted
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Jazz at Nuggets picks and predictions
Prediction
Nuggets 120, Jazz 110
Moneyline
According to TeamRankings.com, the Nuggets (-350) have the best home record since 2022 at 45-8. However, I wouldn’t recommend playing this line at this price.
PASS. Bet the spread and/or the total instead.
Against the spread
The Nuggets followed up their underwhelming performance at the Memphis Grizzlies — a non-cover as 5.5-point favorites Friday — with a blowout at 1 of the hottest teams in the league in Oklahoma City. Denver is 28-20-1 ATS (58.3%) as a home favorite since 2022 and doesn’t seem to be falling into the typical championship hangover.
The Jazz had the best ATS record last season at 47-33-2 (58.8%). However, it might have been a flash in the pan, as Utah already has 2 double-digit losses this early in the season.
Both teams were profitable for bettors last season, but Denver’s success is more likely to be repeatable.
BET NUGGETS -7.5 (-115).
Over/Under
The Over has hit in the Jazz’ last 5 games dating back to last season. The Under has hit in every Nuggets game this season, but that should end Monday. Utah is allowing 124.7 points per game, and the Nuggets are coming off a 128-point performance vs. a much better team in Oklahoma City.
LEAN OVER 227.5 (-115).
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