The Utah Jazz (27-10) travel to the Mile High City Wednesday for a 10 p.m. ET tip-off with the Denver Nuggets (18-17) at Ball Arena. Below, we look at the Jazz vs. Nuggets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
Utah has won six of its last seven games including the Jazz’s most recent victory over the New Orleans Pelicans 115-104 Monday as eight-point favorites.
Utah is 6-1 SU, 2-4-1 ATS and 4-3 O/U over the last two weeks, with the fourth-best adjusted net rating at plus-8.9 points per 100 possessions, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).
Denver had its three-game win streak snapped and failed to cover as a 3-point underdog its last time out when it lost 103-89 at the Dallas Mavericks Monday.
The Nuggets are 3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS and 1-5 O/U in the last 14 days with the 19th-ranked adjusted net rating at minus-1.5 points per 100 possessions, per CTG.
The Jazz hammered the Nuggets 122-110 as 7.5-point favorites for their third win over the last four meetings with Denver. Utah is 3-1 ATS versus Denver in those games and the Over has cashed in three straight Jazz-Nuggets meetings.
Jazz at Nuggets odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:06 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Jazz -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Nuggets +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
- Against the spread (ATS): Jazz -2.5 (-115) | Nuggets +2.5 (-107)
- Over/Under (O/U): 222.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
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Jazz at Nuggets key injuries
Jazz
- SG Donovan Mitchell (back) probable
- SG Jordan Clarkson (back) probable
- SF Bojan Bogdanovic (finger) questionable
- PF Royce O’Neal (knee) questionable
- C Rudy Gobert (shoulder) questionable
- C Hassan Whiteside (concussion) questionable
- SF Joel Ingles (health and safety protocols) out
Nuggets
- PG Monte Morris (health and safety protocols) out
- PF Jeff Green (health and safety protocols) out
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Jazz at Nuggets odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Nuggets 112, Jazz 109
Money line
PASS with a slight “lean” to the Nuggets (+120) because I like Denver plus the points in this spot and generally will sprinkle on an underdog’s money line when betting them to cover the spread.
However, I’d need Denver’s money line to be priced north of +150 before taking a shot with the Nuggets to win outright.
Also, the Jazz are by far the best road team at 13-3 SU in away games with the best offensive and defensive efficiency and the second-best ATS margin.
Against the spread
BET the NUGGETS +2.5 (-107) because there’s been significant line movement from the look-ahead number, which was the Jazz favored by 6 points.
The reason for this line movement is because Utah has four starters on the injury report and defending Sixth Man of the Year, Clarkson, and Sixth Man of the Year finalist, Ingles.
Furthermore, both of the Jazz’s bigs — Gobert and Whiteside — are on the injury report, which is a major factor when facing the defending MVP in Denver C Nikola Jokic.
On top of that, Utah is 2-3 ATS on the road vs. teams with a winning record and 3-10-1 ATS in its last 14 visits to Denver.
Over/Under
“LEAN” to the UNDER 222.5 (-107) for a half-unit because the Under is 4-0-1 in Utah’s last five as a road favorite, the Under is 5-1 in Denver’s last six overall and this is a Pros vs. Joe’s game in the betting market for the total.
More money is on the Under whereas more bets have been placed on the Over according to pregame.com. Generally, it’s profitable to follow the money especially when it’s flowing in the opposite direction as the public.
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