UFC Rio Rancho breakdown: Tracking the evolution of Corey Anderson, Jan Blachowicz

MMA Junkie fight analyst Dan Tom takes a closer look at the UFC on ESPN+ 25 headlining rematch between Corey Anderson and Jan Blachowicz.

Point of interest: Odds and opinions

The oddsmakers and public seem to be liking the younger fighter, listing Anderson -190 and Blachowicz +160 as of this writing.

Despite being a vocal supporter of Blachowicz and his skills for some time, I can’t say that I disagree with the betting spread listed above. Blachowicz has made measurable and impressive improvements in both the wrestling and cardio departments, but I’m still not sure it will inflate his chances of winning the fight enough for me to pick him here.

Sure, Blachowicz could hit one of his patented hook-uppercut returns off the break to violently shift this fight’s momentum, but if he doesn’t find a trajectory-changing shot by the end of the second round, then all signs point to another long night in the office for the Polish fighter. For that reason, I’ll side with Anderson’s more improved and reliable process to help him pull away down the stretch of what I see being a clear but competitive win on the scorecards.

Prediction: Anderson by decision